Item talk:Q59555
From geokb
{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": {
"schema": {
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "CreativeWork",
"additionalType": "USGS Numbered Series",
"name": "UCERF3: A new earthquake forecast for California's complex fault system",
"identifier": [
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID",
"value": "fs20153009",
"url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/fs20153009"
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID",
"value": 70140150
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "DOI",
"value": "10.3133/fs20153009",
"url": "https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20153009"
}
],
"inLanguage": "en",
"isPartOf": [
{
"@type": "CreativeWorkSeries",
"name": "Fact Sheet"
}
],
"datePublished": "2015",
"dateModified": "2015-03-17",
"abstract": "With innovations, fresh data, and lessons learned from recent earthquakes, scientists have developed a new earthquake forecast model for California, a region under constant threat from potentially damaging events. The new model, referred to as the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, or \"UCERF\" (http://www.WGCEP.org/UCERF3), provides authoritative estimates of the magnitude, location, and likelihood of earthquake fault rupture throughout the state. Overall the results confirm previous findings, but with some significant changes because of model improvements. For example, compared to the previous forecast (Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 2), the likelihood of moderate-sized earthquakes (magnitude 6.5 to 7.5) is lower, whereas that of larger events is higher. This is because of the inclusion of multifault ruptures, where earthquakes are no longer confined to separate, individual faults, but can occasionally rupture multiple faults simultaneously. The public-safety implications of this and other model improvements depend on several factors, including site location and type of structure (for example, family dwelling compared to a long-span bridge). Building codes, earthquake insurance products, emergency plans, and other risk-mitigation efforts will be updated accordingly. This model also serves as a reminder that damaging earthquakes are inevitable for California. Fortunately, there are many simple steps residents can take to protect lives and property.",
"description": "6 p.",
"publisher": {
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "U.S. Geological Survey"
},
"author": [
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Field, Edward H. field@usgs.gov",
"givenName": "Edward H.",
"familyName": "Field",
"email": "field@usgs.gov",
"identifier": {
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "ORCID",
"value": "0000-0001-8172-7882",
"url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8172-7882"
},
"affiliation": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Geologic Hazards Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/geologic-hazards-science-center"
}
]
},
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities"
}
],
"funder": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Geologic Hazards Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/geologic-hazards-science-center"
}
],
"spatialCoverage": [
{
"@type": "Place",
"additionalType": "country",
"name": "United States",
"url": "https://geonames.org/4074035"
},
{
"@type": "Place",
"additionalType": "state",
"name": "California"
},
{
"@type": "Place",
"geo": [
{
"@type": "GeoShape",
"additionalProperty": {
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"name": "GeoJSON",
"value": {
"type": "FeatureCollection",
"features": [
{
"type": "Feature",
"properties": {},
"geometry": {
"type": "Polygon",
"coordinates": [
[
[
-124.365234375,
42.00032514831621
],
[
-119.970703125,
42.01665183556825
],
[
-119.94873046875,
39.07890809706475
],
[
-114.63134765625001,
35.10193405724606
],
[
-113.9501953125,
34.23451236236984
],
[
-114.3896484375,
32.731840896865684
],
[
-117.18017578125,
32.52828936482526
],
[
-117.53173828125,
33.119150226768866
],
[
-119.64111328125,
34.27083595165
],
[
-120.82763671875,
34.379712580462204
],
[
-123.90380859374999,
38.94232097947902
],
[
-124.49707031249999,
40.38002840251183
],
[
-124.365234375,
42.00032514831621
]
]
]
}
}
]
}
}
},
{
"@type": "GeoCoordinates",
"latitude": 37.182904307740216,
"longitude": -119.69372388718024
}
]
}
]
}
},
"OpenAlex": {
"abstract_inverted_index": {
"With": [
0
],
"innovations,": [
1
],
"fresh": [
2
],
"data,": [
3
],
"and": [
4,
52,
138,
149,
169,
203
],
"lessons": [
5
],
"learned": [
6
],
"from": [
7,
25
],
"recent": [
8
],
"earthquakes,": [
9
],
"scientists": [
10
],
"have": [
11
],
"developed": [
12
],
"a": [
13,
20,
159,
182
],
"new": [
14,
30
],
"earthquake": [
15,
55,
164
],
"forecast": [
16,
82
],
"model": [
17,
74,
140,
178
],
"for": [
18,
189
],
"California,": [
19
],
"region": [
21
],
"under": [
22
],
"constant": [
23
],
"threat": [
24
],
"potentially": [
26
],
"damaging": [
27,
185
],
"events.": [
28
],
"The": [
29,
133
],
"model,": [
31
],
"referred": [
32
],
"to": [
33,
79,
96,
122,
158,
200
],
"as": [
34,
181
],
"the": [
35,
49,
59,
62,
80,
89,
111
],
"third": [
36
],
"Uniform": [
37
],
"California": [
38,
84
],
"Earthquake": [
39,
85
],
"Rupture": [
40,
86
],
"Forecast,": [
41
],
"or": [
42
],
"\"UCERF\"": [
43
],
"(http://www.WGCEP.org/UCERF3),": [
44
],
"provides": [
45
],
"authoritative": [
46
],
"estimates": [
47
],
"of": [
48,
54,
73,
91,
102,
110,
113,
136,
151
],
"magnitude,": [
50
],
"location,": [
51
],
"likelihood": [
53,
90
],
"fault": [
56
],
"rupture": [
57,
129
],
"throughout": [
58
],
"state.": [
60
],
"Overall": [
61
],
"results": [
63
],
"confirm": [
64
],
"previous": [
65,
81
],
"findings,": [
66
],
"but": [
67,
126
],
"with": [
68
],
"some": [
69
],
"significant": [
70
],
"changes": [
71
],
"because": [
72,
109
],
"improvements.": [
75
],
"For": [
76
],
"example,": [
77,
154
],
"compared": [
78,
157
],
"(Uniform": [
83
],
"Forecast": [
87
],
"2),": [
88
],
"moderate-sized": [
92
],
"earthquakes": [
93,
117,
186
],
"(magnitude": [
94
],
"6.5": [
95
],
"7.5)": [
97
],
"is": [
98,
105,
108
],
"lower,": [
99
],
"whereas": [
100
],
"that": [
101,
184
],
"larger": [
103
],
"events": [
104
],
"higher.": [
106
],
"This": [
107,
177
],
"inclusion": [
112
],
"multifault": [
114
],
"ruptures,": [
115
],
"where": [
116
],
"are": [
118,
187,
193
],
"no": [
119
],
"longer": [
120
],
"confined": [
121
],
"separate,": [
123
],
"individual": [
124
],
"faults,": [
125
],
"can": [
127,
198
],
"occasionally": [
128
],
"multiple": [
130
],
"faults": [
131
],
"simultaneously.": [
132
],
"public-safety": [
134
],
"implications": [
135
],
"this": [
137
],
"other": [
139,
170
],
"improvements": [
141
],
"depend": [
142
],
"on": [
143
],
"several": [
144
],
"factors,": [
145
],
"including": [
146
],
"site": [
147
],
"location": [
148
],
"type": [
150
],
"structure": [
152
],
"(for": [
153
],
"family": [
155
],
"dwelling": [
156
],
"long-span": [
160
],
"bridge).": [
161
],
"Building": [
162
],
"codes,": [
163
],
"insurance": [
165
],
"products,": [
166
],
"emergency": [
167
],
"plans,": [
168
],
"risk-mitigation": [
171
],
"efforts": [
172
],
"will": [
173
],
"be": [
174
],
"updated": [
175
],
"accordingly.": [
176
],
"also": [
179
],
"serves": [
180
],
"reminder": [
183
],
"inevitable": [
188
],
"California.": [
190
],
"Fortunately,": [
191
],
"there": [
192
],
"many": [
194
],
"simple": [
195
],
"steps": [
196
],
"residents": [
197
],
"take": [
199
],
"protect": [
201
],
"lives": [
202
],
"property.": [
204
]
},
"apc_list": null,
"apc_paid": null,
"authorships": [
{
"author_position": "first",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5056728620",
"display_name": "Edward H. Field",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8172-7882"
},
"institutions": [],
"countries": [],
"is_corresponding": true,
"raw_author_name": "Edward H. Field",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [],
"affiliations": []
}
],
"best_oa_location": {
"is_oa": true,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20153009",
"pdf_url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2015/3009/pdf/fs2015-3009.pdf",
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S4210206611",
"display_name": "Fact sheet",
"issn_l": "2327-6916",
"issn": [
"2327-6916",
"2327-6932"
],
"is_oa": true,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": false,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310319934",
"host_organization_name": "United States Geological Survey",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310319934",
"https://openalex.org/P4310316088"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"United States Geological Survey",
"United States Department of the Interior"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": "publishedVersion",
"is_accepted": true,
"is_published": true
},
"biblio": {
"volume": null,
"issue": null,
"first_page": null,
"last_page": null
},
"citation_normalized_percentile": {
"value": 0.901805,
"is_in_top_1_percent": false,
"is_in_top_10_percent": true
},
"cited_by_api_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W1608391765",
"cited_by_count": 27,
"cited_by_percentile_year": {
"min": 93,
"max": 94
},
"concepts": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c11097651",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q606654",
"display_name": "Earthquake prediction",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.6036035,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c165205528",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83371",
"display_name": "Seismology",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.5940208,
"qid": "Q159027"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c126691448",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2028919",
"display_name": "Magnitude (astronomy)",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.5750577,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c201765396",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3984733",
"display_name": "Earthquake scenario",
"level": 3,
"score": 0.5478912,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c199895515",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7900164",
"display_name": "Urban seismic risk",
"level": 3,
"score": 0.5399674,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c2992890811",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q500062",
"display_name": "Earthquake magnitude",
"level": 3,
"score": 0.52870595,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c100776233",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2532492",
"display_name": "Bridge (graph theory)",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.52781355,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c71939608",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5327282",
"display_name": "Earthquake warning system",
"level": 3,
"score": 0.52136266,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c175551986",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q47089",
"display_name": "Fault (geology)",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.5001142,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c26232706",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q6683723",
"display_name": "Earthquake casualty estimation",
"level": 4,
"score": 0.4512507,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c90626213",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3308911",
"display_name": "Earthquake simulation",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.43287,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c127313418",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069",
"display_name": "Geology",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.38298914,
"qid": "Q158984"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c69361100",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1632490",
"display_name": "Seismic hazard",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.35121304,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c77595967",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3151013",
"display_name": "Forensic engineering",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.35117918,
"qid": "Q226244"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c127413603",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023",
"display_name": "Engineering",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.26417518,
"qid": "Q158977"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c33923547",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395",
"display_name": "Mathematics",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.113233924,
"qid": "Q161189"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c29825287",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1427940",
"display_name": "Warning system",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.09408262,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c71924100",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11190",
"display_name": "Medicine",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.0,
"qid": "Q166104"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c121332964",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413",
"display_name": "Physics",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.0,
"qid": "Q166093"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c2524010",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8087",
"display_name": "Geometry",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.0,
"qid": "Q226246"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c1276947",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q333",
"display_name": "Astronomy",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.0,
"qid": "Q166203"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c146978453",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3798668",
"display_name": "Aerospace engineering",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.0,
"qid": "Q166129"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c99844830",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q102441924",
"display_name": "Scaling",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.0,
"qid": null
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c126322002",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11180",
"display_name": "Internal medicine",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.0,
"qid": "Q166327"
}
],
"corresponding_author_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/A5056728620"
],
"corresponding_institution_ids": [],
"countries_distinct_count": 0,
"counts_by_year": [
{
"year": 2024,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2022,
"cited_by_count": 6
},
{
"year": 2021,
"cited_by_count": 7
},
{
"year": 2020,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2019,
"cited_by_count": 4
},
{
"year": 2018,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2016,
"cited_by_count": 1
}
],
"created_date": "2016-06-24",
"datasets": [],
"display_name": "UCERF3: A new earthquake forecast for California's complex fault system",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20153009",
"fulltext_origin": "pdf",
"fwci": 1.336,
"grants": [],
"has_fulltext": true,
"id": "https://openalex.org/W1608391765",
"ids": {
"openalex": "https://openalex.org/W1608391765",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20153009",
"mag": "1608391765"
},
"indexed_in": [
"crossref"
],
"institutions_distinct_count": 0,
"is_paratext": false,
"is_retracted": false,
"keywords": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-prediction",
"display_name": "Earthquake prediction",
"score": 0.6036035
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-detection",
"display_name": "Earthquake Detection",
"score": 0.53619
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-magnitude",
"display_name": "Earthquake magnitude",
"score": 0.52870595
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/bridge",
"display_name": "Bridge (graph theory)",
"score": 0.52781355
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-warning-system",
"display_name": "Earthquake warning system",
"score": 0.52136266
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-casualty-estimation",
"display_name": "Earthquake casualty estimation",
"score": 0.4512507
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-simulation",
"display_name": "Earthquake simulation",
"score": 0.43287
}
],
"language": "en",
"locations": [
{
"is_oa": true,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20153009",
"pdf_url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2015/3009/pdf/fs2015-3009.pdf",
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S4210206611",
"display_name": "Fact sheet",
"issn_l": "2327-6916",
"issn": [
"2327-6916",
"2327-6932"
],
"is_oa": true,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": false,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310319934",
"host_organization_name": "United States Geological Survey",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310319934",
"https://openalex.org/P4310316088"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"United States Geological Survey",
"United States Department of the Interior"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": "publishedVersion",
"is_accepted": true,
"is_published": true
}
],
"locations_count": 1,
"mesh": [],
"ngrams_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/W1608391765/ngrams",
"open_access": {
"is_oa": true,
"oa_status": "bronze",
"oa_url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2015/3009/pdf/fs2015-3009.pdf",
"any_repository_has_fulltext": false
},
"primary_location": {
"is_oa": true,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.3133/fs20153009",
"pdf_url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2015/3009/pdf/fs2015-3009.pdf",
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S4210206611",
"display_name": "Fact sheet",
"issn_l": "2327-6916",
"issn": [
"2327-6916",
"2327-6932"
],
"is_oa": true,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": false,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310319934",
"host_organization_name": "United States Geological Survey",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310319934",
"https://openalex.org/P4310316088"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"United States Geological Survey",
"United States Department of the Interior"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": "publishedVersion",
"is_accepted": true,
"is_published": true
},
"primary_topic": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/T13018",
"display_name": "Machine Learning for Earthquake Early Warning Systems",
"score": 0.9971,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1702",
"display_name": "Artificial Intelligence"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/17",
"display_name": "Computer Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
"publication_date": "2015-01-01",
"publication_year": 2015,
"referenced_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W2063458473"
],
"referenced_works_count": 1,
"related_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W864841137",
"https://openalex.org/W3156344106",
"https://openalex.org/W3025361091",
"https://openalex.org/W2970924758",
"https://openalex.org/W2771158390",
"https://openalex.org/W2627015920",
"https://openalex.org/W2388931700",
"https://openalex.org/W2349372670",
"https://openalex.org/W2260785043",
"https://openalex.org/W2035814672"
],
"sustainable_development_goals": [
{
"score": 0.81,
"display_name": "Climate action",
"id": "https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13"
}
],
"title": "UCERF3: A new earthquake forecast for California's complex fault system",
"topics": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T13018",
"display_name": "Machine Learning for Earthquake Early Warning Systems",
"score": 0.9971,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1702",
"display_name": "Artificial Intelligence"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/17",
"display_name": "Computer Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10110",
"display_name": "Seismicity and Tectonic Plate Interactions",
"score": 0.992,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1908",
"display_name": "Geophysics"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/19",
"display_name": "Earth and Planetary Sciences"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10535",
"display_name": "Landslide Hazards and Risk Assessment",
"score": 0.9677,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/2308",
"display_name": "Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/23",
"display_name": "Environmental Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
}
],
"type": "article",
"type_crossref": "journal-article",
"updated_date": "2024-08-09T07:32:10.503111",
"versions": [],
"qid": "Q59555"
}
}
