Item talk:Q299794
From geokb
{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "Article", "additionalType": "Journal Article", "name": "Global-scale changes to extreme ocean wave events due to anthropogenic warming", "identifier": [ { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID", "value": "70223280", "url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70223280" }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID", "value": 70223280 }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "DOI", "value": "10.1088/1748-9326/ac1013", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac1013" } ], "journal": { "@type": "Periodical", "name": "Environmental Research Letters", "volumeNumber": "16", "issueNumber": "7" }, "inLanguage": "en", "isPartOf": [ { "@type": "CreativeWorkSeries", "name": "Environmental Research Letters" } ], "datePublished": "2021", "dateModified": "2021-08-19", "abstract": "Extreme surface ocean waves are often primary drivers of coastal flooding and erosion over various time scales. Hence, understanding future changes in extreme wave events owing to global warming is of socio-economic and environmental significance. However, our current knowledge of potential changes in high-frequency (defined here as having return periods of less than 1 year) extreme wave events are largely unknown, despite being strongly linked to coastal hazards across time scales relevant to coastal management. Here, we present global climate-modeling evidence, based on the most comprehensive multi-method, multi-model wave ensemble, of projected changes in a core set of extreme wave indices describing high-frequency, extra-tropical storm-driven waves. We find changes in high-frequency extreme wave events of up to \u223c50%\u2013100% under RCP8.5 high-emission scenario; which is nearly double the expected changes for RCP4.5 scenario, when globally integrated. The projected changes exhibit strong inter-hemispheric asymmetry, with strong increases in extreme wave activity across the tropics and high latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere region, and a widespread decrease across most of the Northern Hemisphere. We find that the patterns of projected increase across these extreme wave events over the Southern Hemisphere region resemble their historical response to the positive anomaly of the Southern Annular Mode. Our findings highlight that many countries with low-adaptive capacity are likely to face increasing exposure to much more frequent extreme wave events in the future.", "description": "074056, 10 p.", "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "IOP Science" }, "author": [ { "@type": "Person", "name": "Morim, Joao", "givenName": "Joao", "familyName": "Morim", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Griffith University" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Vitousek, Sean svitousek@usgs.gov", "givenName": "Sean", "familyName": "Vitousek", "email": "svitousek@usgs.gov", "identifier": { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "ORCID", "value": "0000-0002-3369-4673", "url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3369-4673" }, "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/pacific-coastal-and-marine-science-center" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Hemer, Mark", "givenName": "Mark", "familyName": "Hemer", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "CSIRO" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Reguero, Borja", "givenName": "Borja", "familyName": "Reguero", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "University of California, Santa Cruz" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Erikson, Li H. lerikson@usgs.gov", "givenName": "Li H.", "familyName": "Erikson", "email": "lerikson@usgs.gov", "identifier": { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "ORCID", "value": "0000-0002-8607-7695", "url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8607-7695" }, "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/pacific-coastal-and-marine-science-center" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Casas-Prat, Merce", "givenName": "Merce", "familyName": "Casas-Prat", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Environment and Climate Change Canada," } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Wang, Xiaolan L.", "givenName": "Xiaolan L.", "familyName": "Wang", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Environment and Climate Change Canada" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Semedo, Alvaro", "givenName": "Alvaro", "familyName": "Semedo", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "IHE-Delft" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Mori, Nobuhito", "givenName": "Nobuhito", "familyName": "Mori", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Kyoto University" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Shimura, Tomoya", "givenName": "Tomoya", "familyName": "Shimura", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Kyoto University" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Mentaschi, Lorenzo", "givenName": "Lorenzo", "familyName": "Mentaschi", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "European Commission" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Timmerman, Ben", "givenName": "Ben", "familyName": "Timmerman", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory" } ] } ], "funder": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/pacific-coastal-and-marine-science-center" } ] }, "OpenAlex": { "_id": "https://openalex.org/w3195709273", "abstract_inverted_index": { "Abstract": [ 0 ], "Extreme": [ 1 ], "surface": [ 2 ], "ocean": [ 3 ], "waves": [ 4 ], "are": [ 5, 59, 211 ], "often": [ 6 ], "primary": [ 7 ], "drivers": [ 8 ], "of": [ 9, 31, 40, 51, 91, 98, 115, 156, 167, 176, 197 ], "coastal": [ 10, 67, 74 ], "flooding": [ 11 ], "and": [ 12, 33, 153, 161 ], "erosion": [ 13 ], "over": [ 14, 184 ], "various": [ 15 ], "time": [ 16, 70 ], "scales.": [ 17 ], "Hence,": [ 18 ], "understanding": [ 19 ], "future": [ 20 ], "changes": [ 21, 42, 93, 109, 129, 138 ], "in": [ 22, 43, 94, 110, 146, 224 ], "extreme": [ 23, 56, 99, 112, 147, 181, 221 ], "wave": [ 24, 57, 89, 100, 113, 148, 182, 222 ], "events": [ 25, 58, 114, 183, 223 ], "owing": [ 26 ], "to": [ 27, 66, 73, 117, 193, 213, 217 ], "global": [ 28, 79 ], "warming": [ 29 ], "is": [ 30, 124 ], "socio-economic": [ 32 ], "environmental": [ 34 ], "significance.": [ 35 ], "However,": [ 36 ], "our": [ 37 ], "current": [ 38 ], "knowledge": [ 39 ], "potential": [ 41 ], "high-frequency": [ 44, 111 ], "(defined": [ 45 ], "here": [ 46 ], "as": [ 47 ], "having": [ 48 ], "return": [ 49 ], "periods": [ 50 ], "less": [ 52 ], "than": [ 53 ], "1": [ 54 ], "year)": [ 55 ], "largely": [ 60 ], "unknown,": [ 61 ], "despite": [ 62 ], "being": [ 63 ], "strongly": [ 64 ], "linked": [ 65 ], "hazards": [ 68 ], "across": [ 69, 150, 165, 179 ], "scales": [ 71 ], "relevant": [ 72 ], "management.": [ 75 ], "Here,": [ 76 ], "we": [ 77 ], "present": [ 78 ], "climate-modeling": [ 80 ], "evidence,": [ 81 ], "based": [ 82 ], "on": [ 83 ], "the": [ 84, 127, 151, 157, 168, 174, 185, 194, 198, 225 ], "most": [ 85, 166 ], "comprehensive": [ 86 ], "multi-method,": [ 87 ], "multi-model": [ 88 ], "ensemble,": [ 90 ], "projected": [ 92, 137, 177 ], "a": [ 95, 162 ], "core": [ 96 ], "set": [ 97 ], "indices": [ 101 ], "describing": [ 102 ], "high-frequency,": [ 103 ], "extra-tropical": [ 104 ], "storm-driven": [ 105 ], "waves.": [ 106 ], "We": [ 107, 171 ], "find": [ 108, 172 ], "up": [ 116 ], "\u223c50%\u2013100%": [ 118 ], "under": [ 119 ], "RCP8.5": [ 120 ], "high-emission": [ 121 ], "scenario;": [ 122 ], "which": [ 123 ], "nearly": [ 125 ], "double": [ 126 ], "expected": [ 128 ], "for": [ 130 ], "RCP4.5": [ 131 ], "scenario,": [ 132 ], "when": [ 133 ], "globally": [ 134 ], "integrated.": [ 135 ], "The": [ 136 ], "exhibit": [ 139 ], "strong": [ 140, 144 ], "inter-hemispheric": [ 141 ], "asymmetry,": [ 142 ], "with": [ 143, 208 ], "increases": [ 145 ], "activity": [ 149 ], "tropics": [ 152 ], "high": [ 154 ], "latitudes": [ 155 ], "Southern": [ 158, 186, 199 ], "Hemisphere": [ 159, 187 ], "region,": [ 160 ], "widespread": [ 163 ], "decrease": [ 164 ], "Northern": [ 169 ], "Hemisphere.": [ 170 ], "that": [ 173, 205 ], "patterns": [ 175 ], "increase": [ 178 ], "these": [ 180 ], "region": [ 188 ], "resemble": [ 189 ], "their": [ 190 ], "historical": [ 191 ], "response": [ 192 ], "positive": [ 195 ], "anomaly": [ 196 ], "Annular": [ 200 ], "Mode.": [ 201 ], "Our": [ 202 ], "findings": [ 203 ], "highlight": [ 204 ], "many": [ 206 ], "countries": [ 207 ], "low-adaptive": [ 209 ], "capacity": [ 210 ], "likely": [ 212 ], "face": [ 214 ], "increasing": [ 215 ], "exposure": [ 216 ], "much": [ 218 ], "more": [ 219 ], "frequent": [ 220 ], "future.": [ 226 ] }, "apc_list": { "value": 1550, "currency": "GBP", "value_usd": 1901, "provenance": "doaj" }, "apc_paid": { "value": 1550, "currency": "GBP", "value_usd": 1901, "provenance": "doaj" }, "authorships": [ { "author_position": "first", "author": { "id": "https://openalex.org/A5010733976", "display_name": "Joao Morim", "orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1618-5500" }, "institutions": [ { "id": "https://openalex.org/I2802036497", 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"display_name": "IHE Delft Institute for Water Education", "ror": "https://ror.org/030deh410", "country_code": "NL", "type": "education", "lineage": [ "https://openalex.org/I2799973717" ] } ], "countries": [ "NL" ], "is_corresponding": false, "raw_author_name": "Alvaro Semedo", "raw_affiliation_strings": [ "IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands" ], "affiliations": [ { "raw_affiliation_string": "IHE Delft Institute for Water Education, Delft, The Netherlands", "institution_ids": [ "https://openalex.org/I2799973717" ] } ] }, { "author_position": "middle", "author": { "id": "https://openalex.org/A5078723272", "display_name": "Nobuhito Mori", "orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9082-3235" }, "institutions": [ { "id": "https://openalex.org/I22299242", "display_name": "Kyoto University", "ror": "https://ror.org/02kpeqv85", "country_code": "JP", "type": "education", "lineage": [ "https://openalex.org/I22299242" ] } ], "countries": [ "JP" ], "is_corresponding": 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