Item talk:Q269961
From geokb
{
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"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "Article",
"additionalType": "Journal Article",
"name": "Using state-and-transition modeling to account for imperfect detection in invasive species management",
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"value": "70039689",
"url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70039689"
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"value": 70039689
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"value": "10.1614/IPSM-D-11-00065.1",
"url": "https://doi.org/10.1614/IPSM-D-11-00065.1"
}
],
"journal": {
"@type": "Periodical",
"name": "Invasive Plant Science and Management",
"volumeNumber": "6",
"issueNumber": "1"
},
"inLanguage": "en",
"isPartOf": [
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"@type": "CreativeWorkSeries",
"name": "Invasive Plant Science and Management"
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],
"datePublished": "2013",
"dateModified": "2014-01-15",
"abstract": "Buffelgrass, a highly competitive and flammable African bunchgrass, is spreading rapidly across both urban and natural areas in the Sonoran Desert of southern and central Arizona. Damages include increased fire risk, losses in biodiversity, and diminished revenues and quality of life. Feasibility of sustained and successful mitigation will depend heavily on rates of spread, treatment capacity, and cost\u2013benefit analysis. We created a decision support model for the wildland\u2013urban interface north of Tucson, AZ, using a spatial state-and-transition simulation modeling framework, the Tool for Exploratory Landscape Scenario Analyses. We addressed the issues of undetected invasions, identifying potentially suitable habitat and calibrating spread rates, while answering questions about how to allocate resources among inventory, treatment, and maintenance. Inputs to the model include a state-and-transition simulation model to describe the succession and control of buffelgrass, a habitat suitability model, management planning zones, spread vectors, estimated dispersal kernels for buffelgrass, and maps of current distribution. Our spatial simulations showed that without treatment, buffelgrass infestations that started with as little as 80 ha (198 ac) could grow to more than 6,000 ha by the year 2060. In contrast, applying unlimited management resources could limit 2060 infestation levels to approximately 50 ha. The application of sufficient resources toward inventory is important because undetected patches of buffelgrass will tend to grow exponentially. In our simulations, areas affected by buffelgrass may increase substantially over the next 50 yr, but a large, upfront investment in buffelgrass control could reduce the infested area and overall management costs.",
"description": "12 p.",
"publisher": {
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Weed Science Society of America"
},
"author": [
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Morisette, Jeffrey T. morisettej@usgs.gov",
"givenName": "Jeffrey T.",
"familyName": "Morisette",
"email": "morisettej@usgs.gov",
"identifier": {
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"value": "0000-0002-0483-0082",
"url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0483-0082"
},
"affiliation": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "North Central Climate Science Center",
"url": null
},
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Southwest Climate Science Center",
"url": null
}
]
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Betancourt, Julio L. jlbetanc@usgs.gov",
"givenName": "Julio L.",
"familyName": "Betancourt",
"email": "jlbetanc@usgs.gov",
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"value": "0000-0002-7165-0743",
"url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7165-0743"
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"affiliation": [
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"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Science and Decisions Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/programs/science-and-decisions-center"
},
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "National Research Program - Western Branch",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/arizona-water-science-center"
},
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "National Research Program - Eastern Branch",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/arizona-water-science-center"
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]
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Bryan, Katherine",
"givenName": "Katherine",
"familyName": "Bryan"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Brigham, Lindy",
"givenName": "Lindy",
"familyName": "Brigham"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Frid, Leonardo",
"givenName": "Leonardo",
"familyName": "Frid"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Olsson, Aaryn D.",
"givenName": "Aaryn D.",
"familyName": "Olsson"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Bean, Travis M.",
"givenName": "Travis M.",
"familyName": "Bean"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Holcombe, Tracy",
"givenName": "Tracy",
"familyName": "Holcombe"
}
],
"funder": [
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"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Fort Collins Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/fort-collins-science-center"
}
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"@type": "Place",
"additionalType": "country",
"name": "United States",
"url": "https://geonames.org/4074035"
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"additionalType": "state",
"name": "Arizona"
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"name": "Tucson",
"url": "https://geonames.org/4526648"
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"name": "Sonoran Desert",
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