Item talk:Q266284
From geokb
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"name": "Linking demographic rates to local environmental conditions: Empirical data to support climate adaptation strategies for Eleutherodactylus frogs",
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"abstract": "Conducting managed species translocations and establishing climate change\u00a0refugia\u00a0are adaptation strategies to cope with projected consequences of global warming, but successful implementation requires on-the-ground validation of demographic responses to transient climate conditions. Here we estimated the effect of nine abiotic and biotic factors on local occupancy and an index of abundance (few or chorus) for four amphibian species (Eleutherodactylus\u00a0wightmanae,\u00a0E. brittoni,\u00a0E. antillensis,\u00a0and\u00a0E. coqui) in Puerto Rico, USA. We also assessed how the same factors influenced reproductive activity of\u00a0E. coqui\u00a0and how species responded to hurricane Mar\u00eda (20 September 2017). As predicted, occupancy and abundance of\u00a0E. wightmanae,\u00a0E. brittoni\u00a0and\u00a0E. coqui\u00a0were positively and strongly influenced by abiotic covariates (e.g., relative humidity) that characterize high elevation, mesic habitats.\u00a0E. antillensis\u00a0exhibited the opposite pattern, with highest probabilities (\u22650.6) recorded at \u2264300\u00a0m and with average relative humidity<75%. Biotic covariates (e.g., canopy cover) had a weak influence on both parameters, regardless of species. High probabilities (\u22650.9) of detecting an\u00a0E. coqui\u00a0chorus and active nests occurred at sites experiencing average relative humidity of>80% and temperature of \u226426\u00a0\u00b0C. Moderate to high probabilities of detecting a chorus (0.4\u20130.7) were recorded at sites with average temperatures>26\u00a0\u00b0C, but no reproductive activity was detected, implying that monitoring abundance alone could misrepresent the capacity of a local population to sustain itself. The possibility underscores the importance of understanding the interplay between local demographic and environmental parameters in the advent of global warming to help guide monitoring and management decisions, especially for high elevation specialists. Hurricanes can inflict marked reductions in population numbers, but impacts vary by location and species. We found that the abundance (chorus) of\u00a0E. antillensis\u00a0and\u00a0E. brittoni\u00a0increased after the hurricane, but the abundance of the other two species did not differ between years. Lack of impacts was probably mediated by low structural damage to forest tracts (e.g., 9% canopy loss). Our findings help assess habitat suitability in terms of parameters that foster local population growth, which provides a basis for testing spatio-temporal predictions about demographic rates in potential climate refugia and for designing criteria to help guide managed translocations.",
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