Item talk:Q259624

{

 "USGS Publications Warehouse": {
   "@context": "https://schema.org",
   "@type": "Article",
   "additionalType": "Journal Article",
   "name": "Information-theoretic model selection and model averaging for closed-population capture-recapture studies",
   "identifier": [
     {
       "@type": "PropertyValue",
       "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID",
       "value": "70020431",
       "url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70020431"
     },
     {
       "@type": "PropertyValue",
       "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID",
       "value": 70020431
     },
     {
       "@type": "PropertyValue",
       "propertyID": "DOI",
       "value": "10.1002/(SICI)1521-4036(199808)40:4%3C475::AID-BIMJ475%3E3.0.CO;2-%23",
       "url": "https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1521-4036(199808)40:4%3C475::AID-BIMJ475%3E3.0.CO;2-%23"
     }
   ],
   "journal": {
     "@type": "Periodical",
     "name": "Biometrical Journal",
     "volumeNumber": "40",
     "issueNumber": "4"
   },
   "inLanguage": "en",
   "isPartOf": [
     {
       "@type": "CreativeWorkSeries",
       "name": "Biometrical Journal"
     }
   ],
   "datePublished": "1998",
   "dateModified": "2023-08-28",
   "abstract": "Specification of an appropriate model is critical to valid statistical inference. Given the \u201ctrue model\u201d for the data is unknown, the goal of model selection is to select a plausible approximating model that balances model bias and sampling variance. Model selection based on information criteria such as AIC or its variant AICc, or criteria like CAIC, has proven useful in a variety of contexts including the analysis of open-population capture-recapture data. These criteria have not been intensively evaluated for closed-population capture-recapture models, which are integer parameter models used to estimate population size (N), and there is concern that they will not perform well. To address this concern, we evaluated AIC, AICc, and CAIC model selection for closed-population capture-recapture models by empirically assessing the quality of inference for the population size parameter\u00a0N. We found that AIC-, AICc-, and CAIC-selected models had smaller relative mean squared errors than randomly selected models, but that confidence interval coverage on\u00a0N\u00a0was poor unless unconditional variance estimates (which incorporate model uncertainty) were used to compute confidence intervals. Overall, AIC and AICc\u00a0outperformed CAIC, and are preferred to CAIC for selection among the closed-population capture-recapture models we investigated. A model averaging approach to estimation, using AIC, AICc, or CAIC to estimate weights, was also investigated and proved superior to estimation using AIC-, AICc-, or CAIC-selected models. Our results suggested that, for model averaging, AIC or AICc\u00a0should be favored over CAIC for estimating weights.",
   "description": "20 p.",
   "publisher": {
     "@type": "Organization",
     "name": "Wiley"
   },
   "author": [
     {
       "@type": "Person",
       "name": "Stanley, Thomas R. stanleyt@usgs.gov",
       "givenName": "Thomas R.",
       "familyName": "Stanley",
       "email": "stanleyt@usgs.gov",
       "identifier": {
         "@type": "PropertyValue",
         "propertyID": "ORCID",
         "value": "0000-0002-8393-0005",
         "url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8393-0005"
       },
       "affiliation": [
         {
           "@type": "Organization",
           "name": "Fort Collins Science Center",
           "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/fort-collins-science-center"
         }
       ]
     },
     {
       "@type": "Person",
       "name": "Burnham, Kenneth P.",
       "givenName": "Kenneth P.",
       "familyName": "Burnham",
       "affiliation": [
         {
           "@type": "Organization",
           "name": "Colorado Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit",
           "url": "https://www1.usgs.gov/coopunits/unit/Colorado"
         }
       ]
     }
   ],
   "funder": [
     {
       "@type": "Organization",
       "name": "Fort Collins Science Center",
       "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/fort-collins-science-center"
     }
   ]
 }

}