Item talk:Q245697
From geokb
{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": {
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "Article",
"additionalType": "Journal Article",
"name": "Data-driven modeling of surface temperature anomaly and solar activity trends",
"identifier": [
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID",
"value": "70047758",
"url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70047758"
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID",
"value": 70047758
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "DOI",
"value": "10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.04.016",
"url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.04.016"
}
],
"journal": {
"@type": "Periodical",
"name": "Environmental Modelling and Software",
"volumeNumber": "37",
"issueNumber": null
},
"inLanguage": "en",
"isPartOf": [
{
"@type": "CreativeWorkSeries",
"name": "Environmental Modelling and Software"
}
],
"datePublished": "2012",
"dateModified": "2013-08-22",
"abstract": "A novel two-step modeling scheme is used to reconstruct and analyze surface temperature and solar activity data at global, hemispheric, and regional scales. First, the self-organizing map (SOM) technique is used to extend annual modern climate data from the century to millennial scale. The SOM component planes are used to identify and quantify strength of nonlinear relations among modern surface temperature anomalies (<150 years), tropical and extratropical teleconnections, and Palmer Drought Severity Indices (0\u20132000 years). Cross-validation of global sea and land surface temperature anomalies verifies that the SOM is an unbiased estimator with less uncertainty than the magnitude of anomalies. Second, the quantile modeling of SOM reconstructions reveal trends and periods in surface temperature anomaly and solar activity whose timing agrees with published studies. Temporal features in surface temperature anomalies, such as the Medieval Warm Period, Little Ice Age, and Modern Warming Period, appear at all spatial scales but whose magnitudes increase when moving from ocean to land, from global to regional scales, and from southern to northern regions. Some caveats that apply when interpreting these data are the high-frequency filtering of climate signals based on quantile model selection and increased uncertainty when paleoclimatic data are limited. Even so, all models find the rate and magnitude of Modern Warming Period anomalies to be greater than those during the Medieval Warm Period. Lastly, quantile trends among reconstructed equatorial Pacific temperature profiles support the recent assertion of two primary El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation types. These results demonstrate the efficacy of this alternative modeling approach for reconstructing and interpreting scale-dependent climate variables.",
"description": "16 p.",
"publisher": {
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Elsevier"
},
"author": [
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Friedel, Michael J. mfriedel@usgs.gov",
"givenName": "Michael J.",
"familyName": "Friedel",
"email": "mfriedel@usgs.gov",
"identifier": {
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "ORCID",
"value": "0000-0002-5060-3999",
"url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5060-3999"
},
"affiliation": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Central Mineral and Environmental Resources Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/gggsc"
}
]
}
],
"funder": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Crustal Geophysics and Geochemistry Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/geology-energy-and-minerals-science-center"
}
]
},
"OpenAlex": {
"abstract_inverted_index": {
"A": [
0
],
"novel": [
1
],
"two-step": [
2
],
"modeling": [
3,
103,
250
],
"scheme": [
4
],
"is": [
5,
29,
88
],
"used": [
6,
30,
48
],
"to": [
7,
31,
40,
49,
156,
160,
166,
211
],
"reconstruct": [
8
],
"and": [
9,
13,
20,
51,
65,
68,
79,
109,
115,
139,
163,
189,
204,
254
],
"analyze": [
10
],
"surface": [
11,
59,
81,
112,
127
],
"temperature": [
12,
60,
82,
113,
128,
228
],
"solar": [
14,
116
],
"activity": [
15,
117
],
"data": [
16,
36,
176,
194
],
"at": [
17,
144
],
"global,": [
18
],
"hemispheric,": [
19
],
"regional": [
21,
161
],
"scales.": [
22
],
"First,": [
23
],
"the": [
24,
38,
86,
96,
101,
132,
178,
202,
217,
231,
245
],
"self-organizing": [
25
],
"map": [
26
],
"(SOM)": [
27
],
"technique": [
28
],
"extend": [
32
],
"annual": [
33
],
"modern": [
34,
58
],
"climate": [
35,
182,
257
],
"from": [
37,
154,
158,
164
],
"century": [
39
],
"millennial": [
41
],
"scale.": [
42
],
"The": [
43
],
"SOM": [
44,
87,
105
],
"component": [
45
],
"planes": [
46
],
"are": [
47,
177,
195
],
"identify": [
50
],
"quantify": [
52
],
"strength": [
53
],
"of": [
54,
76,
98,
104,
181,
206,
234,
247
],
"nonlinear": [
55
],
"relations": [
56
],
"among": [
57,
224
],
"anomalies": [
61,
83,
210
],
"(<150": [
62
],
"years),": [
63
],
"tropical": [
64
],
"extratropical": [
66
],
"teleconnections,": [
67
],
"Palmer": [
69
],
"Drought": [
70
],
"Severity": [
71
],
"Indices": [
72
],
"(0\u20132000": [
73
],
"years).": [
74
],
"Cross-validation": [
75
],
"global": [
77,
159
],
"sea": [
78
],
"land": [
80
],
"verifies": [
84
],
"that": [
85,
171
],
"an": [
89
],
"unbiased": [
90
],
"estimator": [
91
],
"with": [
92,
121
],
"less": [
93
],
"uncertainty": [
94,
191
],
"than": [
95,
214
],
"magnitude": [
97,
205
],
"anomalies.": [
99
],
"Second,": [
100
],
"quantile": [
102,
186,
222
],
"reconstructions": [
106
],
"reveal": [
107
],
"trends": [
108,
223
],
"periods": [
110
],
"in": [
111,
126
],
"anomaly": [
114
],
"whose": [
118,
149
],
"timing": [
119
],
"agrees": [
120
],
"published": [
122
],
"studies.": [
123
],
"Temporal": [
124
],
"features": [
125
],
"anomalies,": [
129
],
"such": [
130
],
"as": [
131
],
"Medieval": [
133,
218
],
"Warm": [
134,
219
],
"Period,": [
135,
142
],
"Little": [
136
],
"Ice": [
137
],
"Age,": [
138
],
"Modern": [
140,
207
],
"Warming": [
141,
208
],
"appear": [
143
],
"all": [
145,
199
],
"spatial": [
146
],
"scales": [
147
],
"but": [
148
],
"magnitudes": [
150
],
"increase": [
151
],
"when": [
152,
173,
192
],
"moving": [
153
],
"ocean": [
155
],
"land,": [
157
],
"scales,": [
162
],
"southern": [
165
],
"northern": [
167
],
"regions.": [
168
],
"Some": [
169
],
"caveats": [
170
],
"apply": [
172
],
"interpreting": [
174,
255
],
"these": [
175
],
"high-frequency": [
179
],
"filtering": [
180
],
"signals": [
183
],
"based": [
184
],
"on": [
185
],
"model": [
187
],
"selection": [
188
],
"increased": [
190
],
"paleoclimatic": [
193
],
"limited.": [
196
],
"Even": [
197
],
"so,": [
198
],
"models": [
200
],
"find": [
201
],
"rate": [
203
],
"Period": [
209
],
"be": [
212
],
"greater": [
213
],
"those": [
215
],
"during": [
216
],
"Period.": [
220
],
"Lastly,": [
221
],
"reconstructed": [
225
],
"equatorial": [
226
],
"Pacific": [
227
],
"profiles": [
229
],
"support": [
230
],
"recent": [
232
],
"assertion": [
233
],
"two": [
235
],
"primary": [
236
],
"El": [
237
],
"Ni\u00f1o": [
238
],
"Southern": [
239
],
"Oscillation": [
240
],
"types.": [
241
],
"These": [
242
],
"results": [
243
],
"demonstrate": [
244
],
"efficacy": [
246
],
"this": [
248
],
"alternative": [
249
],
"approach": [
251
],
"for": [
252
],
"reconstructing": [
253
],
"scale-dependent": [
256
],
"variables.": [
258
]
},
"apc_list": {
"value": 3400,
"currency": "USD",
"value_usd": 3400,
"provenance": "doaj"
},
"apc_paid": null,
"authorships": [
{
"author_position": "first",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5072987362",
"display_name": "Michael J. Friedel",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2357-6523"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I1286329397",
"display_name": "United States Geological Survey",
"ror": "https://ror.org/035a68863",
"country_code": "US",
"type": "government",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I1286329397",
"https://openalex.org/I1335927249"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"US"
],
"is_corresponding": true,
"raw_author_name": "Michael J. Friedel",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Crustal Geophysics and Geochemistry Science Center, United States Geological Survey, University of Colorado, Denver Federal Center, Box 25046, MS 964, Lakewood, CO 80225, USA and Center for Comput ...#TAB#"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Crustal Geophysics and Geochemistry Science Center, United States Geological Survey, University of Colorado, Denver Federal Center, Box 25046, MS 964, Lakewood, CO 80225, USA and Center for Comput ...#TAB#",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I1286329397"
]
}
]
}
],
"best_oa_location": null,
"biblio": {
"volume": "37",
"issue": null,
"first_page": "217",
"last_page": "232"
},
"citation_normalized_percentile": {
"value": 0.890376,
"is_in_top_1_percent": false,
"is_in_top_10_percent": false
},
"cited_by_api_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W2071810120",
"cited_by_count": 32,
"cited_by_percentile_year": {
"min": 93,
"max": 94
},
"concepts": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C49204034",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139",
"display_name": "Climatology",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.7691698
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C12997251",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q567560",
"display_name": "Anomaly (physics)",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.72831714
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C118671147",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q578714",
"display_name": "Quantile",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.63947666
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C134097258",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1507383",
"display_name": "Sea surface temperature",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.5442441
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C123576220",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3982797",
"display_name": "Teleconnection",
"level": 3,
"score": 0.5169479
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C39432304",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847",
"display_name": "Environmental science",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.5004144
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C72319357",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1063457",
"display_name": "Extratropical cyclone",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.48010945
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C168754636",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q620920",
"display_name": "Climate model",
"level": 3,
"score": 0.47075278
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C132651083",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7942",
"display_name": "Climate change",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.4086321
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C127313418",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069",
"display_name": "Geology",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.30536467
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C507956050",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q14524818",
"display_name": "El Ni\u00f1o Southern Oscillation",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.17512661
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C149782125",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q160039",
"display_name": "Econometrics",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.12472838
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C111368507",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43518",
"display_name": "Oceanography",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.08995843
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C33923547",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395",
"display_name": "Mathematics",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.08914745
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C121332964",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413",
"display_name": "Physics",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.0
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C26873012",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q214781",
"display_name": "Condensed matter physics",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.0
}
],
"corresponding_author_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/A5072987362"
],
"corresponding_institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I1286329397"
],
"countries_distinct_count": 1,
"counts_by_year": [
{
"year": 2023,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2022,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2021,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2020,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2019,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2018,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2017,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2016,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2015,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2014,
"cited_by_count": 7
},
{
"year": 2013,
"cited_by_count": 4
}
],
"created_date": "2016-06-24",
"datasets": [],
"display_name": "Data-driven modeling of surface temperature anomaly and solar activity trends",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.04.016",
"fulltext_origin": "ngrams",
"fwci": 3.121,
"grants": [],
"has_fulltext": true,
"id": "https://openalex.org/W2071810120",
"ids": {
"openalex": "https://openalex.org/W2071810120",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.04.016",
"mag": "2071810120"
},
"indexed_in": [
"crossref"
],
"institutions_distinct_count": 1,
"is_paratext": false,
"is_retracted": false,
"keywords": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/anomaly",
"display_name": "Anomaly (physics)",
"score": 0.72831714
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/quantile",
"display_name": "Quantile",
"score": 0.63947666
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/climate-modeling",
"display_name": "Climate Modeling",
"score": 0.544709
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/teleconnection",
"display_name": "Teleconnection",
"score": 0.5169479
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/solar-influence",
"display_name": "Solar Influence",
"score": 0.507852
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/extratropical-cyclone",
"display_name": "Extratropical cyclone",
"score": 0.48010945
}
],
"language": "en",
"locations": [
{
"is_oa": false,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.04.016",
"pdf_url": null,
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S113611870",
"display_name": "Environmental Modelling & Software",
"issn_l": "1364-8152",
"issn": [
"1364-8152",
"1873-6726"
],
"is_oa": false,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": true,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310320990",
"host_organization_name": "Elsevier BV",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310320990"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"Elsevier BV"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": null,
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
}
],
"locations_count": 1,
"mesh": [],
"ngrams_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/W2071810120/ngrams",
"open_access": {
"is_oa": false,
"oa_status": "closed",
"oa_url": null,
"any_repository_has_fulltext": false
},
"primary_location": {
"is_oa": false,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2012.04.016",
"pdf_url": null,
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S113611870",
"display_name": "Environmental Modelling & Software",
"issn_l": "1364-8152",
"issn": [
"1364-8152",
"1873-6726"
],
"is_oa": false,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": true,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310320990",
"host_organization_name": "Elsevier BV",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310320990"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"Elsevier BV"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": null,
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
},
"primary_topic": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/T11594",
"display_name": "Causes and Impacts of Climate Change Over Millennia",
"score": 0.9995,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1902",
"display_name": "Atmospheric Science"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/19",
"display_name": "Earth and Planetary Sciences"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
"publication_date": "2012-11-01",
"publication_year": 2012,
"referenced_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W103702733",
"https://openalex.org/W1480376833",
"https://openalex.org/W1499762543",
"https://openalex.org/W1529189701",
"https://openalex.org/W1548396839",
"https://openalex.org/W1630269275",
"https://openalex.org/W1676005859",
"https://openalex.org/W1938526285",
"https://openalex.org/W1964888768",
"https://openalex.org/W1965071852",
"https://openalex.org/W1968838785",
"https://openalex.org/W1972676371",
"https://openalex.org/W1972978214",
"https://openalex.org/W1977137533",
"https://openalex.org/W1979495695",
"https://openalex.org/W1983312526",
"https://openalex.org/W1984195210",
"https://openalex.org/W1986395410",
"https://openalex.org/W1991848143",
"https://openalex.org/W1993220086",
"https://openalex.org/W1995349031",
"https://openalex.org/W1995945562",
"https://openalex.org/W1996198957",
"https://openalex.org/W1999990867",
"https://openalex.org/W2001865900",
"https://openalex.org/W2003591120",
"https://openalex.org/W2005409799",
"https://openalex.org/W2007012175",
"https://openalex.org/W2010530988",
"https://openalex.org/W2012179371",
"https://openalex.org/W2012391282",
"https://openalex.org/W2012407814",
"https://openalex.org/W2015144391",
"https://openalex.org/W2023372691",
"https://openalex.org/W2024069573",
"https://openalex.org/W2027040590",
"https://openalex.org/W2027745714",
"https://openalex.org/W2032276178",
"https://openalex.org/W2033018994",
"https://openalex.org/W2043842533",
"https://openalex.org/W2045989506",
"https://openalex.org/W2047309253",
"https://openalex.org/W2047718334",
"https://openalex.org/W2048111821",
"https://openalex.org/W2054167751",
"https://openalex.org/W2057650592",
"https://openalex.org/W2059297705",
"https://openalex.org/W2064817469",
"https://openalex.org/W2065508492",
"https://openalex.org/W2065642750",
"https://openalex.org/W2069150656",
"https://openalex.org/W2071809938",
"https://openalex.org/W2079753076",
"https://openalex.org/W2082457325",
"https://openalex.org/W2084980103",
"https://openalex.org/W2085787800",
"https://openalex.org/W2088278811",
"https://openalex.org/W2088709281",
"https://openalex.org/W2092317646",
"https://openalex.org/W2092922402",
"https://openalex.org/W2093401535",
"https://openalex.org/W2095230240",
"https://openalex.org/W2095817630",
"https://openalex.org/W2096809505",
"https://openalex.org/W2096830549",
"https://openalex.org/W2099252433",
"https://openalex.org/W2099336108",
"https://openalex.org/W2101436864",
"https://openalex.org/W2106459777",
"https://openalex.org/W2108531121",
"https://openalex.org/W2110116713",
"https://openalex.org/W2110802877",
"https://openalex.org/W2115201009",
"https://openalex.org/W2117598843",
"https://openalex.org/W2119576674",
"https://openalex.org/W2128349082",
"https://openalex.org/W2137582471",
"https://openalex.org/W2139223514",
"https://openalex.org/W2139387461",
"https://openalex.org/W2140672119",
"https://openalex.org/W2141604188",
"https://openalex.org/W2146079950",
"https://openalex.org/W2151746416",
"https://openalex.org/W2152208495",
"https://openalex.org/W2156102187",
"https://openalex.org/W2158521569",
"https://openalex.org/W2162548336",
"https://openalex.org/W2165937826",
"https://openalex.org/W2166150666",
"https://openalex.org/W2174367230",
"https://openalex.org/W2174692639",
"https://openalex.org/W2175387312",
"https://openalex.org/W2175714556",
"https://openalex.org/W2175723489",
"https://openalex.org/W2176774719",
"https://openalex.org/W2195083091",
"https://openalex.org/W2619355727",
"https://openalex.org/W2912934387",
"https://openalex.org/W2939474406",
"https://openalex.org/W3020882730",
"https://openalex.org/W3036192984",
"https://openalex.org/W4212883601",
"https://openalex.org/W4232004438",
"https://openalex.org/W4249652984",
"https://openalex.org/W4254757353",
"https://openalex.org/W617039848"
],
"referenced_works_count": 106,
"related_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W4319003926",
"https://openalex.org/W4280638981",
"https://openalex.org/W3119318685",
"https://openalex.org/W2566417207",
"https://openalex.org/W2255150523",
"https://openalex.org/W2160520351",
"https://openalex.org/W2149938466",
"https://openalex.org/W2147289595",
"https://openalex.org/W2132666736",
"https://openalex.org/W1503072211"
],
"sustainable_development_goals": [
{
"score": 0.44,
"id": "https://metadata.un.org/sdg/13",
"display_name": "Climate action"
},
{
"score": 0.41,
"id": "https://metadata.un.org/sdg/14",
"display_name": "Life below water"
}
],
"title": "Data-driven modeling of surface temperature anomaly and solar activity trends",
"topics": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T11594",
"display_name": "Causes and Impacts of Climate Change Over Millennia",
"score": 0.9995,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1902",
"display_name": "Atmospheric Science"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/19",
"display_name": "Earth and Planetary Sciences"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10029",
"display_name": "Climate Change and Variability Research",
"score": 0.9994,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/2306",
"display_name": "Global and Planetary Change"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/23",
"display_name": "Environmental Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10017",
"display_name": "Climate Change and Paleoclimatology",
"score": 0.9965,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1902",
"display_name": "Atmospheric Science"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/19",
"display_name": "Earth and Planetary Sciences"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
}
],
"type": "article",
"type_crossref": "journal-article",
"updated_date": "2024-08-13T13:32:01.273962",
"versions": []
}
}
