Item talk:Q237112
From geokb
{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": {
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "Article",
"additionalType": "Journal Article",
"name": "The UCERF3 grand inversion: Solving for the long\u2010term rate of ruptures in a fault system",
"identifier": [
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID",
"value": "70136519",
"url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70136519"
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID",
"value": 70136519
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "DOI",
"value": "10.1785/0120130180",
"url": "https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130180"
}
],
"journal": {
"@type": "Periodical",
"name": "Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America",
"volumeNumber": "104",
"issueNumber": "3"
},
"inLanguage": "en",
"isPartOf": [
{
"@type": "CreativeWorkSeries",
"name": "Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America"
}
],
"datePublished": "2014",
"dateModified": "2016-07-11",
"abstract": "We present implementation details, testing, and results from a new inversion\u2010based methodology, known colloquially as the \u201cgrand inversion,\u201d developed for the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3). We employ a parallel simulated annealing algorithm to solve for the long\u2010term rate of all ruptures that extend through the seismogenic thickness on major mapped faults in California while simultaneously satisfying available slip\u2010rate, paleoseismic event\u2010rate, and magnitude\u2010distribution constraints. The inversion methodology enables the relaxation of fault segmentation and allows for the incorporation of multifault ruptures, which are needed to remove magnitude\u2010distribution misfits that were present in the previous model, UCERF2. The grand inversion is more objective than past methodologies, as it eliminates the need to prescriptively assign rupture rates. It also provides a means to easily update the model as new data become available. In addition to UCERF3 model results, we present verification of the grand inversion, including sensitivity tests, tuning of equation set weights, convergence metrics, and a synthetic test. These tests demonstrate that while individual rupture rates are poorly resolved by the data, integrated quantities such as magnitude\u2013frequency distributions and, most importantly, hazard metrics, are much more robust.",
"description": "24 p.",
"publisher": {
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Seismological Society of America"
},
"author": [
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Page, Morgan T. mpage@usgs.gov",
"givenName": "Morgan T.",
"familyName": "Page",
"email": "mpage@usgs.gov",
"identifier": {
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "ORCID",
"value": "0000-0001-9321-2990",
"url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9321-2990"
},
"affiliation": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Earthquake Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/earthquake-science-center"
},
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Earthquake Hazards Program",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards"
}
]
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Field, Edward H. field@usgs.gov",
"givenName": "Edward H.",
"familyName": "Field",
"email": "field@usgs.gov",
"identifier": {
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "ORCID",
"value": "0000-0001-8172-7882",
"url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8172-7882"
},
"affiliation": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Geologic Hazards Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/geologic-hazards-science-center"
}
]
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Milner, Kevin",
"givenName": "Kevin",
"familyName": "Milner"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Powers, Peter M. pmpowers@usgs.gov",
"givenName": "Peter M.",
"familyName": "Powers",
"email": "pmpowers@usgs.gov",
"affiliation": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Geologic Hazards Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/geologic-hazards-science-center"
}
]
}
],
"funder": [
{
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "Earthquake Science Center",
"url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/earthquake-science-center"
}
]
},
"OpenAlex": {
"abstract_inverted_index": {
"Abstract": [
0
],
"We": [
2,
29
],
"present": [
3,
93,
140
],
"implementation": [
4
],
"details,": [
5
],
"testing,": [
6
],
"and": [
7,
64,
76,
156
],
"results": [
8
],
"from": [
9
],
"a": [
10,
31,
121,
157
],
"new": [
11,
129
],
"inversion\u2010based": [
12
],
"methodology,": [
13
],
"known": [
14
],
"colloquially": [
15
],
"as": [
16,
108,
128,
177
],
"the": [
17,
22,
39,
48,
71,
79,
95,
111,
126,
143,
172
],
"\u201cgrand": [
18
],
"inversion,\u201d": [
19
],
"developed": [
20
],
"for": [
21,
38,
78
],
"Uniform": [
23
],
"California": [
24,
56
],
"Earthquake": [
25
],
"Rupture": [
26
],
"Forecast": [
27
],
"(UCERF3).": [
28
],
"employ": [
30
],
"parallel": [
32
],
"simulated": [
33
],
"annealing": [
34
],
"algorithm": [
35
],
"to": [
36,
87,
113,
123,
135
],
"solve": [
37
],
"long\u2010term": [
40
],
"rate": [
41
],
"of": [
42,
73,
81,
142,
150
],
"all": [
43
],
"ruptures": [
44
],
"that": [
45,
91,
163
],
"extend": [
46
],
"through": [
47
],
"seismogenic": [
49
],
"thickness": [
50
],
"on": [
51
],
"major": [
52
],
"mapped": [
53
],
"faults": [
54
],
"in": [
55,
94
],
"while": [
57,
164
],
"simultaneously": [
58
],
"satisfying": [
59
],
"available": [
60
],
"slip\u2010rate,": [
61
],
"paleoseismic": [
62
],
"event\u2010rate,": [
63
],
"magnitude\u2010distribution": [
65,
89
],
"constraints.": [
66
],
"The": [
67,
99
],
"inversion": [
68,
101
],
"methodology": [
69
],
"enables": [
70
],
"relaxation": [
72
],
"fault": [
74
],
"segmentation": [
75
],
"allows": [
77
],
"incorporation": [
80
],
"multifault": [
82
],
"ruptures,": [
83
],
"which": [
84
],
"are": [
85,
168,
185
],
"needed": [
86
],
"remove": [
88
],
"misfits": [
90
],
"were": [
92
],
"previous": [
96
],
"model,": [
97
],
"UCERF2.": [
98
],
"grand": [
100,
144
],
"is": [
102
],
"more": [
103,
187
],
"objective": [
104
],
"than": [
105
],
"past": [
106
],
"methodologies,": [
107
],
"it": [
109
],
"eliminates": [
110
],
"need": [
112
],
"prescriptively": [
114
],
"assign": [
115
],
"rupture": [
116,
166
],
"rates.": [
117
],
"It": [
118
],
"also": [
119
],
"provides": [
120
],
"means": [
122
],
"easily": [
124
],
"update": [
125
],
"model": [
127,
137
],
"data": [
130
],
"become": [
131
],
"available.": [
132
],
"In": [
133
],
"addition": [
134
],
"UCERF3": [
136
],
"results,": [
138
],
"we": [
139
],
"verification": [
141
],
"inversion,": [
145
],
"including": [
146
],
"sensitivity": [
147
],
"tests,": [
148
],
"tuning": [
149
],
"equation": [
151
],
"set": [
152
],
"weights,": [
153
],
"convergence": [
154
],
"metrics,": [
155,
184
],
"synthetic": [
158
],
"test.": [
159
],
"These": [
160
],
"tests": [
161
],
"demonstrate": [
162
],
"individual": [
165
],
"rates": [
167
],
"poorly": [
169
],
"resolved": [
170
],
"by": [
171
],
"data,": [
173
],
"integrated": [
174
],
"quantities": [
175
],
"such": [
176
],
"magnitude\u2013frequency": [
178
],
"distributions": [
179
],
"and,": [
180
],
"most": [
181
],
"importantly,": [
182
],
"hazard": [
183
],
"much": [
186
],
"robust.": [
188
]
},
"apc_list": null,
"apc_paid": null,
"authorships": [
{
"author_position": "first",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5013583780",
"display_name": "M. T. Page",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9321-2990"
},
"institutions": [],
"countries": [],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Morgan T. Page",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [],
"affiliations": []
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5056728620",
"display_name": "Edward H. Field",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8172-7882"
},
"institutions": [],
"countries": [],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Edward H. Field",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [],
"affiliations": []
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5001225447",
"display_name": "K. R. Milner",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9118-6378"
},
"institutions": [],
"countries": [],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Kevin R. Milner",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [],
"affiliations": []
},
{
"author_position": "last",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5059625997",
"display_name": "Peter M. Powers",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2124-6184"
},
"institutions": [],
"countries": [],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Peter M. Powers",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [],
"affiliations": []
}
],
"best_oa_location": {
"is_oa": true,
"landing_page_url": "https://zenodo.org/record/896639",
"pdf_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/896639/files/article.pdf",
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S4306400562",
"display_name": "Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)",
"issn_l": null,
"issn": null,
"is_oa": true,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": false,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/I67311998",
"host_organization_name": "European Organization for Nuclear Research",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I67311998"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"European Organization for Nuclear Research"
],
"type": "repository"
},
"license": "other-oa",
"license_id": "https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa",
"version": "submittedVersion",
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
},
"biblio": {
"volume": "104",
"issue": "3",
"first_page": "1181",
"last_page": "1204"
},
"citation_normalized_percentile": {
"value": 0.999908,
"is_in_top_1_percent": true,
"is_in_top_10_percent": true
},
"cited_by_api_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W2155515236",
"cited_by_count": 47,
"cited_by_percentile_year": {
"min": 96,
"max": 97
},
"concepts": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C61797465",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1188986",
"display_name": "Term (time)",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.706642
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C1893757",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3653001",
"display_name": "Inversion (geology)",
"level": 3,
"score": 0.6894016
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C127313418",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069",
"display_name": "Geology",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.6348568
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C165205528",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q83371",
"display_name": "Seismology",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.470705
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C175551986",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q47089",
"display_name": "Fault (geology)",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.41601402
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C121332964",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413",
"display_name": "Physics",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.13271993
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C62520636",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944",
"display_name": "Quantum mechanics",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.0
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/C77928131",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q193343",
"display_name": "Tectonics",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.0
}
],
"corresponding_author_ids": [],
"corresponding_institution_ids": [],
"countries_distinct_count": 0,
"counts_by_year": [
{
"year": 2024,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2023,
"cited_by_count": 7
},
{
"year": 2022,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2021,
"cited_by_count": 5
},
{
"year": 2020,
"cited_by_count": 7
},
{
"year": 2019,
"cited_by_count": 5
},
{
"year": 2018,
"cited_by_count": 6
},
{
"year": 2017,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2016,
"cited_by_count": 2
},
{
"year": 2015,
"cited_by_count": 6
},
{
"year": 2014,
"cited_by_count": 1
}
],
"created_date": "2016-06-24",
"datasets": [],
"display_name": "The UCERF3 Grand Inversion: Solving for the Long-Term Rate of Ruptures in a Fault System",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130180",
"fulltext_origin": "pdf",
"fwci": 2.697,
"grants": [],
"has_fulltext": true,
"id": "https://openalex.org/W2155515236",
"ids": {
"openalex": "https://openalex.org/W2155515236",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130180",
"mag": "2155515236"
},
"indexed_in": [
"crossref"
],
"institutions_distinct_count": 0,
"is_paratext": false,
"is_retracted": false,
"keywords": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/real-time-seismology",
"display_name": "Real-Time Seismology",
"score": 0.565288
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-prediction-models",
"display_name": "Earthquake Prediction Models",
"score": 0.552014
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/earthquake-detection",
"display_name": "Earthquake Detection",
"score": 0.517997
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/seismic-phase-picking",
"display_name": "Seismic Phase Picking",
"score": 0.517304
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/seismic-deformation",
"display_name": "Seismic Deformation",
"score": 0.507866
}
],
"language": "en",
"locations": [
{
"is_oa": false,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130180",
"pdf_url": null,
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S59098468",
"display_name": "Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America",
"issn_l": "0037-1106",
"issn": [
"0037-1106",
"1943-3573"
],
"is_oa": false,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": true,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310316854",
"host_organization_name": "Seismological Society of America",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310316854"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"Seismological Society of America"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": null,
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
},
{
"is_oa": true,
"landing_page_url": "https://zenodo.org/record/896639",
"pdf_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/896639/files/article.pdf",
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S4306400562",
"display_name": "Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)",
"issn_l": null,
"issn": null,
"is_oa": true,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": false,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/I67311998",
"host_organization_name": "European Organization for Nuclear Research",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I67311998"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"European Organization for Nuclear Research"
],
"type": "repository"
},
"license": "other-oa",
"license_id": "https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa",
"version": "submittedVersion",
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
}
],
"locations_count": 2,
"mesh": [],
"ngrams_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/W2155515236/ngrams",
"open_access": {
"is_oa": true,
"oa_status": "green",
"oa_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/896639/files/article.pdf",
"any_repository_has_fulltext": true
},
"primary_location": {
"is_oa": false,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130180",
"pdf_url": null,
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S59098468",
"display_name": "Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America",
"issn_l": "0037-1106",
"issn": [
"0037-1106",
"1943-3573"
],
"is_oa": false,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": true,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310316854",
"host_organization_name": "Seismological Society of America",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310316854"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"Seismological Society of America"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": null,
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
},
"primary_topic": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10110",
"display_name": "Seismicity and Tectonic Plate Interactions",
"score": 0.9999,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1908",
"display_name": "Geophysics"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/19",
"display_name": "Earth and Planetary Sciences"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
"publication_date": "2014-06-01",
"publication_year": 2014,
"referenced_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W1659842140",
"https://openalex.org/W1904429860",
"https://openalex.org/W1995662622",
"https://openalex.org/W2003243598",
"https://openalex.org/W2014925490",
"https://openalex.org/W2020999234",
"https://openalex.org/W2024060531",
"https://openalex.org/W2028592032",
"https://openalex.org/W2030605379",
"https://openalex.org/W2063458473",
"https://openalex.org/W2079238116",
"https://openalex.org/W2082712001",
"https://openalex.org/W2096009974",
"https://openalex.org/W2098033214",
"https://openalex.org/W2130948066",
"https://openalex.org/W2151363206",
"https://openalex.org/W2167327624",
"https://openalex.org/W2187044851",
"https://openalex.org/W2260271878",
"https://openalex.org/W2511094068",
"https://openalex.org/W2803723138",
"https://openalex.org/W984215769"
],
"referenced_works_count": 22,
"related_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W3186982001",
"https://openalex.org/W2324615561",
"https://openalex.org/W2245170124",
"https://openalex.org/W2137941439",
"https://openalex.org/W2086120259",
"https://openalex.org/W2076393078",
"https://openalex.org/W2004200960",
"https://openalex.org/W1999913942",
"https://openalex.org/W1999891779",
"https://openalex.org/W1984402782"
],
"sustainable_development_goals": [],
"title": "The UCERF3 Grand Inversion: Solving for the Long-Term Rate of Ruptures in a Fault System",
"topics": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10110",
"display_name": "Seismicity and Tectonic Plate Interactions",
"score": 0.9999,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1908",
"display_name": "Geophysics"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/19",
"display_name": "Earth and Planetary Sciences"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T13018",
"display_name": "Machine Learning for Earthquake Early Warning Systems",
"score": 0.9974,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1702",
"display_name": "Artificial Intelligence"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/17",
"display_name": "Computer Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T12424",
"display_name": "Study of Earthquake Precursor Phenomena",
"score": 0.9942,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/1908",
"display_name": "Geophysics"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/19",
"display_name": "Earth and Planetary Sciences"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
}
],
"type": "article",
"type_crossref": "journal-article",
"updated_date": "2024-08-12T15:52:22.952545",
"versions": []
}
}
