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{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "Article", "additionalType": "Journal Article", "name": "Predicting East African spring droughts using Pacific and Indian Ocean sea surface temperature indices", "identifier": [ { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID", "value": "70155249", "url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70155249" }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID", "value": 70155249 }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "DOI", "value": "10.5194/hessd-11-3111-2014", "url": "https://doi.org/10.5194/hessd-11-3111-2014" } ], "journal": { "@type": "Periodical", "name": "Hydrology and Earth System Sciences", "volumeNumber": "11", "issueNumber": null }, "inLanguage": "en", "isPartOf": [ { "@type": "CreativeWorkSeries", "name": "Hydrology and Earth System Sciences" } ], "datePublished": "2014", "dateModified": "2017-01-18", "abstract": "In southern Ethiopia, Eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia poor boreal spring rains in 1999, 2000, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2011 contributed to severe food insecurity and high levels of malnutrition. Predicting rainfall deficits in this region on seasonal and decadal time frames can help decision makers support disaster risk reduction while guiding climate-smart adaptation and agricultural development. Building on recent research that links more frequent droughts to a stronger Walker Circulation, warming in the Indo-Pacific warm pool, and an increased western Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) gradient, we explore the dominant modes of East African rainfall variability, links between these modes and sea surface temperatures, and a simple index-based monitoring-prediction system suitable for drought early warning.", "description": "26 p.", "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "EGU" }, "author": [ { "@type": "Person", "name": "Funk, Christopher C. cfunk@usgs.gov", "givenName": "Christopher C.", "familyName": "Funk", "email": "cfunk@usgs.gov", "identifier": { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "ORCID", "value": "0000-0002-9254-6718", "url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9254-6718" }, "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center (Geography)", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/eros" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Hoell, Andrew", "givenName": "Andrew", "familyName": "Hoell", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "UCSB Climate Hazards Group" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Shukla, Shraddhanand", "givenName": "Shraddhanand", "familyName": "Shukla", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "UCSB Climate Hazards Group" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Blade, Ileana", "givenName": "Ileana", "familyName": "Blade", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Institut Catala de Ciencies del Clima" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Liebmann, Brant", "givenName": "Brant", "familyName": "Liebmann", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "NOAA Earth Systems Research Laboratory" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Roberts, Jason B.", "givenName": "Jason B.", "familyName": "Roberts", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "NASA Marshall Space Flight Center" } ] }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Robertson, Franklin R.", "givenName": "Franklin R.", "familyName": "Robertson", "affiliation": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "NASA Marshall Space Flight Center" } ] } ], "funder": [ { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Earth Resources Observation and Science (EROS) Center", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/eros" } ] }, "OpenAlex": { "abstract_inverted_index": { "Abstract.": [ 0 ], "In": [ 1 ], "southern": [ 2, 7 ], "Ethiopia,": [ 3 ], "Eastern": [ 4 ], "Kenya,": [ 5 ], "and": [ 6, 20, 27, 40, 57, 83, 113, 138, 147, 156, 174, 184 ], "Somalia,": [ 8 ], "poor": [ 9 ], "boreal": [ 10, 103 ], "spring": [ 11, 104 ], "rains": [ 12 ], "in": [ 13, 35, 69, 78, 119, 166 ], "1999,": [ 14 ], "2000,": [ 15 ], "2004,": [ 16 ], "2007,": [ 17 ], "2008,": [ 18 ], "2009,": [ 19 ], "2011": [ 21 ], "contributed": [ 22 ], "to": [ 23, 72, 110, 152, 179 ], "severe": [ 24 ], "food": [ 25 ], "insecurity": [ 26 ], "high": [ 28 ], "levels": [ 29 ], "of": [ 30, 100 ], "malnutrition.": [ 31 ], "Predicting": [ 32 ], "rainfall": [ 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