Item talk:Q236962
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{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "Article", "additionalType": "Journal Article", "name": "A spatial analysis of population dynamics and climate change in Africa: potential vulnerability hot spots emerge where precipitation declines and demographic pressures coincide", "identifier": [ { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID", "value": "70155266", "url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70155266" }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID", "value": 70155266 }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "DOI", "value": "10.1007/s11111-014-0209-0", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-014-0209-0" } ], "journal": { "@type": "Periodical", "name": "Population and Environment", "volumeNumber": "35", "issueNumber": "3" }, "inLanguage": "en", "isPartOf": [ { "@type": "CreativeWorkSeries", "name": "Population and Environment" } ], "datePublished": "2014", "dateModified": "2017-01-18", "abstract": "We present an integrative measure of exposure and sensitivity components of vulnerability to climatic and demographic change for the African continent in order to identify \u201chot spots\u201d of high potential population vulnerability. Getis-Ord\u00a0Gi*\u00a0spatial clustering analyses reveal statistically significant locations of spatio-temporal precipitation decline coinciding with high population density and increase. Statistically significant areas are evident, particularly across central, southern, and eastern Africa. The highly populated Lake Victoria basin emerges as a particularly salient hot spot. People located in the regions highlighted in this analysis suffer exceptionally high exposure to negative climate change impacts (as populations increase on lands with decreasing rainfall). Results may help inform further hot spot mapping and related research on demographic vulnerabilities to climate change. 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