Item talk:Q227138
From geokb
{
"@context": "http://schema.org/", "@type": "WebPage", "additionalType": "Research", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/whcmsc/science/coastal-change-likelihood", "headline": "Coastal Change Likelihood", "datePublished": "February 9, 2023", "author": [ { "@type": "Person", "name": "Elizabeth A Pendleton", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/staff-profiles/elizabeth-a-pendleton", "identifier": { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "orcid", "value": "0000-0002-1224-4892" } }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Erika Lentz, PhD", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/staff-profiles/erika-lentz", "identifier": { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "orcid", "value": "0000-0002-0621-8954" } }, { "@type": "Person", "name": "Julia L Heslin", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/staff-profiles/julia-l-heslin", "identifier": { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "orcid", "value": "0000-0002-6895-800X" } } ], "description": [ { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "The U.S. Geological Survey, in partnership with the National Park Service through the Natural Resource Preservation Program, developed the Coastal Change Likelihood (CCL) assessment to determine the future likelihood of coastal change along U.S. coastlines in the next decade." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "The Northeast United States, from Maine to Virginia, was selected for a proof-of-concept pilot study." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "Coastal resources are increasingly impacted by erosion, extreme weather events, sea-level rise, tidal flooding, and other potential hazards. These\u202fhazards have varying impacts on coastal landscapes. Understanding where coastal change is most likely to occur and which types of hazards, event-driven (e.g., storms) and/or perpetual (e.g., sea level rise), are more likely to affect a specific location is essential to planning for future vulnerabilities to people and resources." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "The CCL is an updated version of the older Coastal Vulnerability Index, first published in 1999. While the original product was focused on change in the next 50-100 years based solely on sea level rise, the new CCL is more near-term, focusing on change over the next decade as a result of multiple coastal hazards. The CCL incorporates significant improvements to the Coastal Vulnerability Index thanks to technological updates and improvements in coastal data source quality and resolution." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "The Coastal Change Likelihood (CCL) assessment synthesizes over 20 existing datasets from a variety of federal, state, and private organizations to describe the landscape and the hazards that may affect it to evaluate the likelihood of coastal change along U.S. coastlines on a decadal scale." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "Our update seeks to preserve the strengths of the original study, which include the color-coded assessment map, analysis of geologic properties and hazards that influence coastal change, and national-scale coverage, while applying advances in spatial analysis, input datasets and resolution, and timescales of anticipated coastal change." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "Currently, data are available for the Northeast region of the U.S., from Maine to Virginia, and extend across the coastal zone, from the coastline to inland, up to 10 meters above mean high water. Read the data report, \u201cThe Workflow of the Coastal Change Likelihood Assessment for the Northeast Region, Maine to Virginia,\u201d to learn more." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "The assessment utilizes datasets that describe the coastal landscape, or fabric, and six common coastal hazards\u2014erosion, storm frequency, relative sea level rise, tidal flooding, storm overwash probability, and wave power. A supervised machine learning framework is used to synthesize the fabric and hazard data to estimate the likelihood of coastal change in the coming decade." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "The USGS is committed to bringing the CCL assessment to the lake shores of the Great Lakes next through a collaboration with the Great Lakes Restoration Initiative. Expansion beyond the Northeast and Great Lakes is currently being explored." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "When compared with the Coastal Vulnerability Index, the data in the CCL have a higher resolution, areal coverage, and accuracy, include more complex hazards information, better account for geological and ecological variability and human development, and the data layers can be used together or independently to evaluate where different types of hazards are likely to have the greatest impacts on the coast." }, { "@type": "TextObject", "text": "The CCL outcomes can be used as a first order planning tool to determine which areas of the coast are more likely to change in response to future potential coastal hazards, and to examine elements and drivers that make change in a given location more likely." } ], "funder": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Woods Hole Coastal and Marine Science Center", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/whcmsc" }, "about": [ { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Science Technology" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Climate" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Water" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Coasts" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "storms" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "CVI" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Coastal Vulnerability Index" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "U.S. National Park Service" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Coastal Change Likelihood" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Natural Resource Preservation Program" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "NPS" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Extreme Weather" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "wave power" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "overwash" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Geology" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Energy" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "erosion" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "waves" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Sea-Level Rise" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "National Park Service (NPS)" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "coastal change" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "sea level rise" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Maps and Mapping" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "CCL" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "coastal change assessment" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Coastal Change Likelihood Assessment" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "National Park Service" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "storm overwash probability" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "extreme storms" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "coastal change hazards" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "extreme weather events" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "tidal flooding" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "coastal storms" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Information Systems" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "storm frequency" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "fabric" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Methods and Analysis" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "relative sea level rise" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Environmental Health" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "Natural Hazards" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "coastal landscape" }, { "@type": "Thing", "name": "hazards" } ]
}