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Science plan for improving three-dimensional seismic velocity models in the San Francisco Bay region, 2019–24

This five-year science plan outlines short-term and long-term goals for improving three-dimensional seismic velocity models in the greater San Francisco Bay region as well as how to foster a community effort in reaching those goals. The short-term goals focus on improving the current U.S. Geological Survey San Francisco Bay region geologic and seismic velocity model using existing data. The long-term goals focus on acquiring new data and leveraging better analytic tools to improve the model and characterize the uncertainty. The plan describes opportunities for contributions by members of the community to develop these seismic velocity models, provides current and potential users with general information on where efforts will likely be focused to improve these models and how new versions of the models will be released, and outlines funding needs and obstacles for improving and maintaining such models. Several aspects of this plan, including how to foster a community effort, are independent of the geographic region and apply to other similar efforts.

Table of Contents

  • Abstract
  • Introduction
  • 2018 Workshop
  • Short-Term Goals
  • Long-Term Goals
  • Synergy with Other Efforts
  • Community Building
  • San Francisco Bay Region 3D Seismic Velocity Models
  • USGS San Francisco Bay Region 3D Seismic Velocity Model
  • Accuracy of Simulated Ground Motions for Moderate and Large Earthquakes
  • Related Efforts
  • Next Generation SCEC Community Seismic Velocity Models
  • Seismic Velocity Model Representation and Access
  • Short-Term Goals (Years 1–2)
  • Long-Term Goals (Year 3 and Beyond)
  • Community Model Building
  • References Cited
  • Appendix 1. 2018 San Francisco Bay Region Seismic Velocity Models for Seismic Hazard Assessment Workshop
  • Appendix 2. 2019 San Francisco Bay Region Seismic Velocity Models for Seismic Hazard Assessment Workshop