{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": {
"@context": "https://schema.org",
"@type": "Article",
"additionalType": "Journal Article",
"name": "Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modelling (LUCHEM) II: Ensemble combinations and predictions",
"identifier": [
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID",
"value": "70035825",
"url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70035825"
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID",
"value": 70035825
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "DOI",
"value": "10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.05.006",
"url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.05.006"
},
{
"@type": "PropertyValue",
"propertyID": "ISSN",
"value": "03091708"
}
],
"journal": {
"@type": "Periodical",
"name": "Advances in Water Resources",
"volumeNumber": "32",
"issueNumber": "2"
},
"inLanguage": "en",
"isPartOf": [
{
"@type": "CreativeWorkSeries",
"name": "Advances in Water Resources"
}
],
"datePublished": "2009",
"dateModified": "2012-03-12",
"abstract": "This paper reports on a project to compare predictions from a range of catchment models applied to a mesoscale river basin in central Germany and to assess various ensemble predictions of catchment streamflow. The models encompass a large range in inherent complexity and input requirements. In approximate order of decreasing complexity, they are DHSVM, MIKE-SHE, TOPLATS, WASIM-ETH, SWAT, PRMS, SLURP, HBV, LASCAM and IHACRES. The models are calibrated twice using different sets of input data. The two predictions from each model are then combined by simple averaging to produce a single-model ensemble. The 10 resulting single-model ensembles are combined in various ways to produce multi-model ensemble predictions. Both the single-model ensembles and the multi-model ensembles are shown to give predictions that are generally superior to those of their respective constituent models, both during a 7-year calibration period and a 9-year validation period. This occurs despite a considerable disparity in performance of the individual models. Even the weakest of models is shown to contribute useful information to the ensembles they are part of. The best model combination methods are a trimmed mean (constructed using the central four or six predictions each day) and a weighted mean ensemble (with weights calculated from calibration performance) that places relatively large weights on the better performing models. Conditional ensembles, in which separate model weights are used in different system states (e.g. summer and winter, high and low flows) generally yield little improvement over the weighted mean ensemble. However a conditional ensemble that discriminates between rising and receding flows shows moderate improvement. An analysis of ensemble predictions shows that the best ensembles are not necessarily those containing the best individual models. Conversely, it appears that some models that predict well individually do not necessarily combine well with other models in multi-model ensembles. The reasons behind these observations may relate to the effects of the weighting schemes, non-stationarity of the climate series and possible cross-correlations between models. Crown Copyright ?? 2008.",
"publisher": {
"@type": "Organization",
"name": "U.S. Geological Survey"
},
"author": [
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Viney, N.R.",
"givenName": "N.R.",
"familyName": "Viney"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Jakeman, A.J.",
"givenName": "A.J.",
"familyName": "Jakeman"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Graff, T.",
"givenName": "T.",
"familyName": "Graff"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Lindstrom, G.",
"givenName": "G.",
"familyName": "Lindstrom"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Seibert, J.",
"givenName": "J.",
"familyName": "Seibert"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Kite, G.W.",
"givenName": "G.W.",
"familyName": "Kite"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Croke, B.F.W.",
"givenName": "B.F.W.",
"familyName": "Croke"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Breuer, L.",
"givenName": "L.",
"familyName": "Breuer"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Hubrechts, L.",
"givenName": "L.",
"familyName": "Hubrechts"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Willems, P.",
"givenName": "P.",
"familyName": "Willems"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Sivapalan, M.",
"givenName": "M.",
"familyName": "Sivapalan"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Lettenmaier, D.P.",
"givenName": "D.P.",
"familyName": "Lettenmaier"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Bormann, H.",
"givenName": "H.",
"familyName": "Bormann"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Huisman, J. A.",
"givenName": "J. A.",
"familyName": "Huisman"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Lanini, J.",
"givenName": "J.",
"familyName": "Lanini"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Leavesley, G.",
"givenName": "G.",
"familyName": "Leavesley"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Frede, H.",
"givenName": "H.",
"familyName": "Frede"
},
{
"@type": "Person",
"name": "Bronstert, A.",
"givenName": "A.",
"familyName": "Bronstert"
}
]
},
"OpenAlex": {
"_id": "https://openalex.org/W1987434040",
"abstract_inverted_index": {
"This": [
0,
142
],
"paper": [
1
],
"reports": [
2
],
"on": [
3,
207
],
"a": [
4,
10,
17,
36,
89,
133,
138,
145,
178,
192,
243
],
"project": [
5
],
"to": [
6,
16,
25,
87,
102,
117,
124,
161,
165,
303
],
"compare": [
7
],
"predictions": [
8,
29,
77,
119,
188,
260
],
"from": [
9,
78,
199
],
"range": [
11,
38
],
"of": [
12,
30,
48,
72,
126,
150,
157,
258,
306,
311
],
"catchment": [
13,
31
],
"models": [
14,
34,
65,
158,
280,
292
],
"applied": [
15
],
"mesoscale": [
18
],
"river": [
19
],
"basin": [
20
],
"in": [
21,
39,
99,
148,
214,
221,
293
],
"central": [
22,
184
],
"Germany": [
23
],
"and": [
24,
42,
62,
111,
137,
191,
227,
230,
250,
315
],
"assess": [
26
],
"various": [
27,
100
],
"ensemble": [
28,
105,
195,
245,
259
],
"streamflow.": [
32
],
"The": [
33,
64,
75,
92,
172,
296
],
"encompass": [
35
],
"large": [
37,
205
],
"inherent": [
40
],
"complexity": [
41
],
"input": [
43,
73
],
"requirements.": [
44
],
"In": [
45
],
"approximate": [
46
],
"order": [
47
],
"decreasing": [
49
],
"complexity,": [
50
],
"they": [
51,
168
],
"are": [
52,
66,
81,
97,
115,
121,
169,
177,
219,
266
],
"DHSVM,": [
53
],
"MIKE-SHE,": [
54
],
"TOPLATS,": [
55
],
"WASIM-ETH,": [
56
],
"SWAT,": [
57
],
"PRMS,": [
58
],
"SLURP,": [
59
],
"HBV,": [
60
],
"LASCAM": [
61
],
"IHACRES.": [
63
],
"calibrated": [
67
],
"twice": [
68
],
"using": [
69,
182
],
"different": [
70,
222
],
"sets": [
71
],
"data.": [
74
],
"two": [
76
],
"each": [
79,
189
],
"model": [
80,
174,
217
],
"then": [
82
],
"combined": [
83,
98
],
"by": [
84
],
"simple": [
85
],
"averaging": [
86
],
"produce": [
88,
103
],
"single-model": [
90,
95,
109
],
"ensemble.": [
91,
241
],
"10": [
93
],
"resulting": [
94
],
"ensembles": [
96,
110,
114,
167,
265
],
"ways": [
101
],
"multi-model": [
104,
113,
294
],
"predictions.": [
106
],
"Both": [
107
],
"the": [
108,
112,
151,
155,
166,
183,
208,
238,
263,
271,
304,
307,
312
],
"shown": [
116,
160
],
"give": [
118
],
"that": [
120,
202,
246,
262,
278,
281
],
"generally": [
122,
233
],
"superior": [
123
],
"those": [
125,
269
],
"their": [
127
],
"respective": [
128
],
"constituent": [
129
],
"models,": [
130
],
"both": [
131
],
"during": [
132
],
"7-year": [
134
],
"calibration": [
135,
200
],
"period": [
136
],
"9-year": [
139
],
"validation": [
140
],
"period.": [
141
],
"occurs": [
143
],
"despite": [
144
],
"considerable": [
146
],
"disparity": [
147
],
"performance": [
149
],
"individual": [
152,
273
],
"models.": [
153,
211,
274,
319
],
"Even": [
154
],
"weakest": [
156
],
"is": [
159
],
"contribute": [
162
],
"useful": [
163
],
"information": [
164
],
"part": [
170
],
"of.": [
171
],
"best": [
173,
264,
272
],
"combination": [
175
],
"methods": [
176
],
"trimmed": [
179
],
"mean": [
180,
194,
240
],
"(constructed": [
181
],
"four": [
185
],
"or": [
186
],
"six": [
187
],
"day)": [
190
],
"weighted": [
193,
239
],
"(with": [
196
],
"weights": [
197,
206,
218
],
"calculated": [
198
],
"performance)": [
201
],
"places": [
203
],
"relatively": [
204
],
"better": [
209
],
"performing": [
210
],
"Conditional": [
212
],
"ensembles,": [
213
],
"which": [
215
],
"separate": [
216
],
"used": [
220
],
"system": [
223
],
"states": [
224
],
"(e.g.": [
225
],
"summer": [
226
],
"winter,": [
228
],
"high": [
229
],
"low": [
231
],
"flows)": [
232
],
"yield": [
234
],
"little": [
235
],
"improvement": [
236
],
"over": [
237
],
"However": [
242
],
"conditional": [
244
],
"discriminates": [
247
],
"between": [
248,
318
],
"rising": [
249
],
"receding": [
251
],
"flows": [
252
],
"shows": [
253,
261
],
"moderate": [
254
],
"improvement.": [
255
],
"An": [
256
],
"analysis": [
257
],
"not": [
267,
286
],
"necessarily": [
268,
287
],
"containing": [
270
],
"Conversely,": [
275
],
"it": [
276
],
"appears": [
277
],
"some": [
279
],
"predict": [
282
],
"well": [
283,
289
],
"individually": [
284
],
"do": [
285
],
"combine": [
288
],
"with": [
290
],
"other": [
291
],
"ensembles.": [
295
],
"reasons": [
297
],
"behind": [
298
],
"these": [
299
],
"observations": [
300
],
"may": [
301
],
"relate": [
302
],
"effects": [
305
],
"weighting": [
308
],
"schemes,": [
309
],
"non-stationarity": [
310
],
"climate": [
313
],
"series": [
314
],
"possible": [
316
],
"cross-correlations": [
317
]
},
"apc_list": {
"value": 3730,
"currency": "USD",
"value_usd": 3730,
"provenance": "doaj"
},
"apc_paid": null,
"authorships": [
{
"author_position": "first",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5006986909",
"display_name": "Neil R. Viney",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3638-9073"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I4210161554",
"display_name": "CSIRO Land and Water",
"ror": "https://ror.org/057xz1h85",
"country_code": "AU",
"type": "facility",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I1292875679",
"https://openalex.org/I2801453606",
"https://openalex.org/I4210161554",
"https://openalex.org/I4387156119"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"AU"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Neil Viney",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"CSIRO Land and Water, GPO Box 1666, Canberra ACT 2600, Australia"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "CSIRO Land and Water, GPO Box 1666, Canberra ACT 2600, Australia",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I4210161554"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5001545892",
"display_name": "Helge Bormann",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7740-4554"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I129877168",
"display_name": "Carl von Ossietzky Universit\u00e4t Oldenburg",
"ror": "https://ror.org/033n9gh91",
"country_code": "DE",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I129877168"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"DE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "H Bormann",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Institute for Biology and Environmental Sciences, Carl von Ossietzsky University, Oldenburg, Germany"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Institute for Biology and Environmental Sciences, Carl von Ossietzsky University, Oldenburg, Germany",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I129877168"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5089526272",
"display_name": "Lutz Breuer",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9720-1076"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I200763008",
"display_name": "University of Giessen",
"ror": "https://ror.org/033eqas34",
"country_code": "DE",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I200763008"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"DE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "L Breuer",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Institute for Landscape Ecology and Resources Management, Justus-Liebig University, Giessen, Germany"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Institute for Landscape Ecology and Resources Management, Justus-Liebig University, Giessen, Germany",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I200763008"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5063110262",
"display_name": "Axel Bronstert",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6369-8536"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I176453806",
"display_name": "University of Potsdam",
"ror": "https://ror.org/03bnmw459",
"country_code": "DE",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I176453806"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"DE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "A Bronstert",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Institute for Geoecology, University of Potsdam, Germany"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Institute for Geoecology, University of Potsdam, Germany",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I176453806"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5003011234",
"display_name": "Barry Croke",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9216-1554"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I118347636",
"display_name": "Australian National University",
"ror": "https://ror.org/019wvm592",
"country_code": "AU",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I118347636"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"AU"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Barry Croke",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management Centre The Australian National University Canberra, Australia"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management Centre The Australian National University Canberra, Australia",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I118347636"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5073668884",
"display_name": "H. G. Frede",
"orcid": null
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I200763008",
"display_name": "University of Giessen",
"ror": "https://ror.org/033eqas34",
"country_code": "DE",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I200763008"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"DE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "H Frede",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Institute for Landscape Ecology and Resources Management, Justus-Liebig University, Giessen, Germany"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Institute for Landscape Ecology and Resources Management, Justus-Liebig University, Giessen, Germany",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I200763008"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5026537642",
"display_name": "Thomas Graeff",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1164-586X"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I176453806",
"display_name": "University of Potsdam",
"ror": "https://ror.org/03bnmw459",
"country_code": "DE",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I176453806"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"DE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "T Graff",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Institute for Geoecology, University of Potsdam, Germany"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Institute for Geoecology, University of Potsdam, Germany",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I176453806"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5051069553",
"display_name": "Lode Hubrechts",
"orcid": null
},
"institutions": [],
"countries": [
"BE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "L Hubrechts",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Afdeling Ecologie en Water, Lisec NV, Genk, Belgium"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Afdeling Ecologie en Water, Lisec NV, Genk, Belgium",
"institution_ids": []
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5010939292",
"display_name": "Johan Alexander Huisman",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1327-0945"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I171892758",
"display_name": "Forschungszentrum J\u00fclich",
"ror": "https://ror.org/02nv7yv05",
"country_code": "DE",
"type": "facility",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I1305996414",
"https://openalex.org/I171892758"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"DE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "J.A. Huisman",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"ICG-4 Agrosphere, Forschungszentrum J\u00fclich, Germany"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "ICG-4 Agrosphere, Forschungszentrum J\u00fclich, Germany",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I171892758"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5045235359",
"display_name": "Anthony J. Jakeman",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5282-2215"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I118347636",
"display_name": "Australian National University",
"ror": "https://ror.org/019wvm592",
"country_code": "AU",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I118347636"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"AU"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Anthony Jakeman",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management Centre The Australian National University Canberra, Australia"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Integrated Catchment Assessment and Management Centre The Australian National University Canberra, Australia",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I118347636"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5075908510",
"display_name": "Geoff Kite",
"orcid": null
},
"institutions": [],
"countries": [
"GB"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "G W Kite",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Hydrologic Solutions, Pantymwyn, United Kingdom"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Hydrologic Solutions, Pantymwyn, United Kingdom",
"institution_ids": []
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5052906896",
"display_name": "Jordan S. Lanini",
"orcid": null
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I201448701",
"display_name": "University of Washington",
"ror": "https://ror.org/00cvxb145",
"country_code": "US",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I201448701"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"US"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "J Lanini",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA."
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I201448701"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5002333724",
"display_name": "George H. Leavesley",
"orcid": null
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I1286329397",
"display_name": "United States Geological Survey",
"ror": "https://ror.org/035a68863",
"country_code": "US",
"type": "government",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I1286329397",
"https://openalex.org/I1335927249"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"US"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "G Leavesley",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"United States Geological Survey Denver CO USA"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "United States Geological Survey Denver CO USA",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I1286329397"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5040977258",
"display_name": "Dennis P. Lettenmaier",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0914-0726"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I201448701",
"display_name": "University of Washington",
"ror": "https://ror.org/00cvxb145",
"country_code": "US",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I201448701"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"US"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "D P Lettenmaier",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA."
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I201448701"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5038431212",
"display_name": "G\u00f6ran Lindstr\u00f6m",
"orcid": null
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I1293302089",
"display_name": "Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute",
"ror": "https://ror.org/00hgzve81",
"country_code": "SE",
"type": "government",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I1293302089"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"SE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "G Lindstrom",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute Norrk\u00f6ping Sweden"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute Norrk\u00f6ping Sweden",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I1293302089"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5028147456",
"display_name": "Jan Seibert",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6314-2124"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I161593684",
"display_name": "Stockholm University",
"ror": "https://ror.org/05f0yaq80",
"country_code": "SE",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I161593684"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"SE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "J Seibert",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Department of Physical Geography & Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University Stockholm Sweden"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Department of Physical Geography & Quaternary Geology, Stockholm University Stockholm Sweden",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I161593684"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "middle",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5089753390",
"display_name": "Murugesu Sivapalan",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3004-3530"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I177877127",
"display_name": "University of Western Australia",
"ror": "https://ror.org/047272k79",
"country_code": "AU",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I177877127"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"AU"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "Murugesu Sivapalan",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Centre for Water Research, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Centre for Water Research, University of Western Australia, Perth, Australia",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I177877127"
]
}
]
},
{
"author_position": "last",
"author": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/A5050811390",
"display_name": "Patrick Willems",
"orcid": "https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7085-2570"
},
"institutions": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/I99464096",
"display_name": "KU Leuven",
"ror": "https://ror.org/05f950310",
"country_code": "BE",
"type": "education",
"lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/I99464096"
]
}
],
"countries": [
"BE"
],
"is_corresponding": false,
"raw_author_name": "P Willems",
"raw_affiliation_strings": [
"Hydraulics Laboratory, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium"
],
"affiliations": [
{
"raw_affiliation_string": "Hydraulics Laboratory, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium",
"institution_ids": [
"https://openalex.org/I99464096"
]
}
]
}
],
"best_oa_location": null,
"biblio": {
"volume": "32",
"issue": "2",
"first_page": "147",
"last_page": "158"
},
"cited_by_api_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W1987434040",
"cited_by_count": 133,
"cited_by_percentile_year": {
"min": 98,
"max": 99
},
"concepts": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c76886044",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2883300",
"display_name": "Hydrology (agriculture)",
"level": 2,
"score": 0.6353177,
"qid": "Q161210"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c39432304",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847",
"display_name": "Environmental science",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.47807956,
"qid": "Q166085"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c127313418",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069",
"display_name": "Geology",
"level": 0,
"score": 0.28397548,
"qid": "Q158984"
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/c187320778",
"wikidata": "https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1349130",
"display_name": "Geotechnical engineering",
"level": 1,
"score": 0.21888861,
"qid": "Q226247"
}
],
"corresponding_author_ids": [],
"corresponding_institution_ids": [],
"countries_distinct_count": 6,
"counts_by_year": [
{
"year": 2024,
"cited_by_count": 3
},
{
"year": 2023,
"cited_by_count": 6
},
{
"year": 2022,
"cited_by_count": 9
},
{
"year": 2021,
"cited_by_count": 5
},
{
"year": 2020,
"cited_by_count": 5
},
{
"year": 2019,
"cited_by_count": 11
},
{
"year": 2018,
"cited_by_count": 7
},
{
"year": 2017,
"cited_by_count": 11
},
{
"year": 2016,
"cited_by_count": 8
},
{
"year": 2015,
"cited_by_count": 15
},
{
"year": 2014,
"cited_by_count": 7
},
{
"year": 2013,
"cited_by_count": 9
},
{
"year": 2012,
"cited_by_count": 11
}
],
"created_date": "2016-06-24",
"datasets": [],
"display_name": "Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modelling (LUCHEM) II: Ensemble combinations and predictions",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.05.006",
"fulltext_origin": "ngrams",
"fwci": 14.802,
"grants": [],
"has_fulltext": true,
"id": "https://openalex.org/W1987434040",
"ids": {
"openalex": "https://openalex.org/W1987434040",
"doi": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.05.006",
"mag": "1987434040"
},
"indexed_in": [
"crossref"
],
"institutions_distinct_count": 12,
"is_paratext": false,
"is_retracted": false,
"keywords": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/watershed-simulation",
"display_name": "Watershed Simulation",
"score": 0.590382
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/hydrological-modeling",
"display_name": "Hydrological Modeling",
"score": 0.58142
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/keywords/model-evaluation",
"display_name": "Model Evaluation",
"score": 0.537964
}
],
"language": "en",
"locations": [
{
"is_oa": false,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.05.006",
"pdf_url": null,
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S145524021",
"display_name": "Advances in Water Resources",
"issn_l": "0309-1708",
"issn": [
"0309-1708",
"1872-9657"
],
"is_oa": false,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": true,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310320990",
"host_organization_name": "Elsevier BV",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310320990"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"Elsevier BV"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": null,
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
}
],
"locations_count": 1,
"mesh": [],
"ngrams_url": "https://api.openalex.org/works/W1987434040/ngrams",
"open_access": {
"is_oa": false,
"oa_status": "closed",
"oa_url": null,
"any_repository_has_fulltext": false
},
"primary_location": {
"is_oa": false,
"landing_page_url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.05.006",
"pdf_url": null,
"source": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/S145524021",
"display_name": "Advances in Water Resources",
"issn_l": "0309-1708",
"issn": [
"0309-1708",
"1872-9657"
],
"is_oa": false,
"is_in_doaj": false,
"is_core": true,
"host_organization": "https://openalex.org/P4310320990",
"host_organization_name": "Elsevier BV",
"host_organization_lineage": [
"https://openalex.org/P4310320990"
],
"host_organization_lineage_names": [
"Elsevier BV"
],
"type": "journal"
},
"license": null,
"license_id": null,
"version": null,
"is_accepted": false,
"is_published": false
},
"primary_topic": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10330",
"display_name": "Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management",
"score": 0.9999,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/2312",
"display_name": "Water Science and Technology"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/23",
"display_name": "Environmental Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
"publication_date": "2009-02-01",
"publication_year": 2009,
"referenced_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W129846137",
"https://openalex.org/W1592303791",
"https://openalex.org/W1594170481",
"https://openalex.org/W161134698",
"https://openalex.org/W187919921",
"https://openalex.org/W1983724666",
"https://openalex.org/W1987655656",
"https://openalex.org/W1988615010",
"https://openalex.org/W1993387039",
"https://openalex.org/W2014924022",
"https://openalex.org/W2019923303",
"https://openalex.org/W2030134440",
"https://openalex.org/W2032421433",
"https://openalex.org/W2033904036",
"https://openalex.org/W2035608987",
"https://openalex.org/W2039507572",
"https://openalex.org/W2051739928",
"https://openalex.org/W2064615259",
"https://openalex.org/W2066560163",
"https://openalex.org/W2066771937",
"https://openalex.org/W2068509151",
"https://openalex.org/W2070683189",
"https://openalex.org/W2076829026",
"https://openalex.org/W2083082288",
"https://openalex.org/W2090619961",
"https://openalex.org/W2118155295",
"https://openalex.org/W2148183179",
"https://openalex.org/W2158840489",
"https://openalex.org/W4231145041",
"https://openalex.org/W4239401614",
"https://openalex.org/W4247753841"
],
"referenced_works_count": 31,
"related_works": [
"https://openalex.org/W4280521631",
"https://openalex.org/W4206359692",
"https://openalex.org/W3117958761",
"https://openalex.org/W3007404728",
"https://openalex.org/W2899084033",
"https://openalex.org/W2374021052",
"https://openalex.org/W2110536732",
"https://openalex.org/W2041265485",
"https://openalex.org/W1984740135",
"https://openalex.org/W1984514811"
],
"sustainable_development_goals": [],
"title": "Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modelling (LUCHEM) II: Ensemble combinations and predictions",
"topics": [
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10330",
"display_name": "Hydrological Modeling and Water Resource Management",
"score": 0.9999,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/2312",
"display_name": "Water Science and Technology"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/23",
"display_name": "Environmental Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T10266",
"display_name": "Global Forest Drought Response and Climate Change",
"score": 0.996,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/2306",
"display_name": "Global and Planetary Change"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/23",
"display_name": "Environmental Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
},
{
"id": "https://openalex.org/T11186",
"display_name": "Global Drought Monitoring and Assessment",
"score": 0.9949,
"subfield": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/subfields/2306",
"display_name": "Global and Planetary Change"
},
"field": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/fields/23",
"display_name": "Environmental Science"
},
"domain": {
"id": "https://openalex.org/domains/3",
"display_name": "Physical Sciences"
}
}
],
"type": "article",
"type_crossref": "journal-article",
"updated_date": "2024-08-11T15:08:11.124255",
"versions": [],
"qid": null
}
}