Item talk:Q236824
From geokb
{
"USGS Publications Warehouse": { "@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "Article", "additionalType": "Journal Article", "name": "Simulating 2,368 temperate lakes reveals weak coherence in stratification phenology", "identifier": [ { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID", "value": "70136276", "url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/70136276" }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID", "value": 70136276 }, { "@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "DOI", "value": "10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.07.029", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.07.029" } ], "journal": { "@type": "Periodical", "name": "Ecological Modelling", "volumeNumber": "291", "issueNumber": null }, "inLanguage": "en", "isPartOf": [ { "@type": "CreativeWorkSeries", "name": "Ecological Modelling" } ], "datePublished": "2014", "dateModified": "2018-04-24", "abstract": "Changes in water temperatures resulting from climate warming can alter the structure and function of aquatic ecosystems. Lake-specific physical characteristics may play a role in mediating individual lake responses to climate. Past mechanistic studies of lake-climate interactions have simulated generic lake classes at large spatial scales or performed detailed analyses of small numbers of real lakes. Understanding the diversity of lake responses to climate change across landscapes requires a hybrid approach that couples site-specific lake characteristics with broad-scale environmental drivers. This study provides a substantial advancement in lake ecosystem modeling by combining open-source tools with freely available continental-scale data to mechanistically model daily temperatures for 2,368 Wisconsin lakes over three decades (1979-2011). The model accurately predicted observed surface layer temperatures (RMSE: 1.74\u00b0C) and the presence/absence of stratification (81.1% agreement). 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