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= Evaluating land-use change scenarios for the Puget Sound Basin, Washington, within the ecosystem recovery target model-based framework =
{"@context": "https://schema.org", "@type": "CreativeWork", "additionalType": "USGS Numbered Series", "name": "Evaluating land-use change scenarios for the Puget Sound Basin, Washington, within the ecosystem recovery target model-based framework", "identifier": [{"@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse IndexID", "value": "ofr20171057", "url": "https://pubs.usgs.gov/publication/ofr20171057"}, {"@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "USGS Publications Warehouse Internal ID", "value": 70187634}, {"@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "DOI", "value": "10.3133/ofr20171057", "url": "https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20171057"}], "inLanguage": "en", "isPartOf": [{"@type": "CreativeWorkSeries", "name": "Open-File Report"}], "datePublished": "2017", "dateModified": "2017-05-23", "abstract": "The Puget Sound Basin, Washington, has experienced rapid urban growth in recent decades, with varying impacts to local ecosystems and natural resources. To plan for future growth, land managers often use scenarios to assess how the pattern and volume of growth may affect natural resources. Using three different land-management scenarios for the years 2000\u20132060, we assessed various spatial patterns of urban growth relative to maps depicting a model-based characterization of the ecological integrity and recent development pressure of individual land parcels. The three scenarios depict future trajectories of land-use change under alternative management strategies\u2014status quo, managed growth, and unconstrained growth. The resulting analysis offers a preliminary assessment of how future growth patterns in the Puget Sound Basin may impact land targeted for conservation and how short-term metrics of land-development pressure compare to longer term growth projections.", "description": "v, 14 p.", "publisher": {"@type": "Organization", "name": "U.S. Geological Survey"}, "author": [{"@type": "Person", "name": "Aiello, Danielle daiello@usgs.gov", "givenName": "Danielle", "familyName": "Aiello", "email": "daiello@usgs.gov"}, {"@type": "Person", "name": "Villarreal, Miguel L. mvillarreal@usgs.gov", "givenName": "Miguel L.", "familyName": "Villarreal", "email": "mvillarreal@usgs.gov", "identifier": {"@type": "PropertyValue", "propertyID": "ORCID", "value": "0000-0003-0720-1422", "url": "https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0720-1422"}, "affiliation": [{"@type": "Organization", "name": "Western Geographic Science Center", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/western-geographic-science-center"}]}, {"@type": "Person", "name": "Labiosa, Bill blabiosa@usgs.gov", "givenName": "Bill", "familyName": "Labiosa", "email": "blabiosa@usgs.gov"}], "funder": [{"@type": "Organization", "name": "Western Geographic Science Center", "url": "https://www.usgs.gov/centers/western-geographic-science-center"}], "spatialCoverage": [{"@type": "Place", "additionalType": "country", "name": "United States", "url": "https://geonames.org/6252001"}, {"@type": "Place", "additionalType": "state", "name": "Washington", "url": "https://geonames.org/5815135"}, {"@type": "Place", "additionalType": "unknown", "name": "Puget Sound Basin"}, {"@type": "Place", "geo": [{"@type": "GeoShape", "additionalProperty": {"@type": "PropertyValue", "name": "GeoJSON", "value": {"type": "FeatureCollection", "features": [{"type": "Feature", "properties": {}, "geometry": {"type": "Polygon", "coordinates": [[[-125.068359375, 46.5], [-119.35546875000001, 46.5], [-119.35546875000001, 49.023461463214126], [-125.068359375, 49.023461463214126], [-125.068359375, 46.5]]]}}]}}}, {"@type": "GeoCoordinates", "latitude": 47.76173073160706, "longitude": -122.2119140625}]}]}
The Puget Sound Basin, Washington, has experienced rapid urban growth in recent decades, with varying impacts to local ecosystems and natural resources. To plan for future growth, land managers often use scenarios to assess how the pattern and volume of growth may affect natural resources. Using three different land-management scenarios for the years 2000–2060, we assessed various spatial patterns of urban growth relative to maps depicting a model-based characterization of the ecological integrity and recent development pressure of individual land parcels. The three scenarios depict future trajectories of land-use change under alternative management strategies—status quo, managed growth, and unconstrained growth. The resulting analysis offers a preliminary assessment of how future growth patterns in the Puget Sound Basin may impact land targeted for conservation and how short-term metrics of land-development pressure compare to longer term growth projections.
 
== Table of Contents ==
* Abstract<br />
 
* Introduction<br />
 
* Modeling Approach<br />
 
* Caveats<br />
 
* Methods and Datasets<br />
 
* Ecologically Important Land<br />
 
* ENVISION Growth Scenarios<br />
 
* Analysis<br />
 
* Results<br />
 
* Conclusions<br />
 
* References Cited<br />

Revision as of 20:06, 15 July 2024

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